FNUS73 KUNR 280131
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BOGUS JIM...GREAT PLAINS DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
731 PM MDT TUE MAR 27 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1912 MDT ON MARCH 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT DRAINAGE WINDS WILL DOMINATE THE
WEATHER TONIGHT. WEDNESDAY WILL BE WARMER THAN TODAY...ALLOWING
THE RH TO DROP TO NEAR 20 PERCENT. EVEN THOUGH A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH IS IN EFFECT...WIND SPEEDS PROBABLY WILL NOT BE SUFFICIENT
FOR A RED FLAG WARNING IN THE BLACK HILLS. NEVERTHELESS...AN
INCREASING SOUTH WIND AND STEEP LAPSE RATES COULD STILL RESULT IN
ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL
PASS THE AREA WEDNESDAY EVENING...SWITCHING WINDS TO THE NORTH-
WEST AT 5 TO 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30.
RH..................MAX 60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE AT 1-4 MPH...BECOMING DOWN-VALLEY AT
                    2-6 MPH BY LATE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO LESS THAN 250 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...WITH A THIN LAYER OF HIGH CLOUDS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66.
RH..................MIN 21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING SOUTH/UPSLOPE AT 5 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5000 TO 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...MB
REQUESTED BY...TERRY TOMPKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120327.BOGUS.01/UNR