FNUS71 KAKQ 281423 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR REMNANT MARSH...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE (NWR) NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 1023 AM EDT WED MAR 28 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE BURN AREA THIS EVENING. IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONT...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE BREEZY TODAY WITH FREQUENT GUSTS IN THE 25-30 MPH RANGE. AS THE COLD FRONT PASSES THIS EVENING...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. DRY NORTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED THURSDAY. THESE DRY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH GUSTY NW WINDS MAY ENHANCE FIRE DANGER ESPECIALLY IF THERE IS NOT WETTING RAIN WITH THE WEAK COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 AT NOON INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL MID-AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 TO 32 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............20 20 20 30 30 30 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................73 76 78 79 80 79 RH..................43 41 39 37 37 39 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.7 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.0 3.8 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......16 17 18 17 18 18 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 30 30 30 30 30 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....29 29 29 31 32 31 VRATE KT-FT/1000....66 76 85 97 102 107 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................64 69 74 82 84 85 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500 AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 28 MPH...BECOMING WEST 16 TO 18 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............35 35 35 39 39 39 46 46 46 37 37 37 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH TEMP................77 75 71 69 68 66 65 64 63 63 62 61 RH..................45 50 59 63 68 73 75 75 78 75 75 75 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......3.3 2.5 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......16 15 15 15 14 14 13 12 10 8 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 25 20 20 18 18 17 16 13 12 10 9 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....28 24 21 21 21 21 20 20 18 17 17 16 VRATE KT-FT/1000....77 52 32 28 24 20 15 11 7 7 7 7 LVORI...............1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 ADI.................37 32 23 23 23 19 18 18 16 15 12 11 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............20 20 20 15 15 15 17 17 17 13 13 13 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................60 61 62 63 65 68 69 70 71 72 72 71 RH..................75 72 70 62 58 51 45 42 38 33 33 34 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.5 0.5 0.5 1.3 2.1 2.9 3.4 3.9 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 20 FT WIND DIR......W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD......8 10 10 12 13 14 15 15 16 15 14 13 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 20 20 20 25 30 30 30 30 25 25 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.....14 13 13 17 22 25 25 23 21 20 17 16 VRATE KT-FT/1000....6 6 6 20 40 64 75 79 80 76 67 62 LVORI...............4 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................11 14 14 26 43 59 65 63 60 57 50 47 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 FORECASTER...MCGEE REQUESTED BY...CODY DANIELS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120328.REMNA.01/AKQ