FNUS71 KBGM 281229 FWSBGM SPOT FORECAST FOR FLRX12...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON, NY 829 AM EDT WED MAR 28 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0840 EDT ON MARCH 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOMING GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30 MPH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 21 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4400-5900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35 TO 44 MPH. DEWPOINT............13...INCREASING TO 40. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDY. WEST WINDS 21 TO 30 MPH. SURFACE WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 21 TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............78 54 47 47 47 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE S CHC ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............CHANCE S CHC ISOLTD ISOLTD TEMP................51 52 58 62 63 DEWPOINT............21 26 29 34 39 RH..................30 36 33 35 41 20 FT WIND..........SW 14 SW 14 SW 14 W 14 W 19 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 20 25 30 35 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 11 SW 10 SW 10 W 11 W 14 EYE LVL WND GST.....25 20 25 30 35 SURFACE WIND........SW 18 SW 17 SW 17 W 18 W 24 SURFACE WND GST.....25 20 25 30 35 MIX HGT (FT)........1300 1300 600 4400 4400 TRANSPORT WIND......W 38 W 38 W 41 W 44 W 44 CHC OF PCPN (%).....30 20 10 20 20 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 33 TO 41 MPH. DEWPOINT............39...DECREASING TO 35 AFTER MIDNIGHT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 23 MPH. SURFACE WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 23 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............47 46 81 92 92 94 WEATHER COV......... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................60 54 47 43 41 38 DEWPOINT............41 40 39 38 36 35 RH..................49 59 74 82 82 89 20 FT WIND..........W 14 W 11 NW 14 NW 14 NW 10 NW 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 25 30 30 25 25 EYE LEVEL WIND......W 11 W 8 NW 10 NW 10 NW 8 NW 8 EYE LVL WND GST.....30 25 30 30 25 25 SURFACE WIND........W 18 W 14 NW 17 NW 17 NW 13 NW 14 SURFACE WND GST.....30 25 30 30 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)........5900 2900 2900 1300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......W 41 W 39 W 39 NW 35 NW 33 NW 33 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 20 30 30 40 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 2 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-4000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800-4500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 29 TO 35 MPH. DEWPOINT............31...DECREASING TO 27 IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 23 MPH. SURFACE WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 23 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............94 93 88 81 76 60 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSN RNSN RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................36 36 38 40 41 42 DEWPOINT............33 32 30 29 28 27 RH..................89 85 73 64 59 55 20 FT WIND..........NW 13 N 14 NW 14 NW 14 NW 14 NW 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 30 25 25 25 25 EYE LEVEL WIND......NW 10 N 11 NW 10 NW 10 NW 10 NW 11 EYE LVL WND GST.....25 30 25 25 25 25 SURFACE WIND........NW 16 N 18 NW 17 NW 17 NW 17 NW 18 SURFACE WND GST.....25 30 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)........2100 3000 3000 4000 4500 4500 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 35 NW 35 NW 35 NW 31 NW 29 NW 29 CHC OF PCPN (%).....40 30 20 20 20 10 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...BRADY REQUESTED BY...DAVE DISANTO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120328.FLRX1.01/BGM