FNUS75 KBOU 281934 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LOWER NORTH FORK...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 133 PM MDT WED MAR 28 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA WITH HUMIDITY READINGS REMAINING LOW. WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHWEST...WITH SOME GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FOR TONIGHT...THE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE A BIT AS A DISTURBANCE MOVES TOWARD THE AREA WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN COLORADO THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL BECOME WESTERLY DURING THE MORNING BEFORE SHIFTING BACK TO THE SOUTH BY THE AFTERNOON. SOME GUSTS COULD REACH 35 MPH ACROSS THE HIGHER RIDGES (8000 FEET AND ABOVE) DURING THE MORNING HOURS. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY WITH WINDS INCREASING SATURDAY. SOME SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72. MIN HUMIDITY........8-14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH AFTER 1500. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10200-11200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-44. MAX HUMIDITY........32-37%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH BECOMING WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...BECOMING FAIR BY 2300. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71. MIN HUMIDITY........9-14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST 5-12 MPH. AFTER 1200 SOUTH SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000-12400 FT AGL BY 1100. AFTER 1200...13800-14800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...BECOMING FAIR BY 0700...THEN GOOD. VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT AFTER 1000. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LOWER NORTH FORK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/28-12 21 0 0 66 12 S 7 7 3 1 W25 9237 W14 114347 V 03/28-13 21 0 0 69 11 S 8 13 3 1 W25 10115 W15 135325 V 03/28-14 21 0 0 70 10 SW 9 15 3 1 W24 10993 W16 156304 E 03/28-15 20 0 0 71 10 SW10 16 3 1 W24 11870 W17 177282 E 03/28-16 20 0 0 71 10 SW12 18 3 1 W24 11181 SW17 168552 E 03/28-17 20 0 0 69 11 SW13 21 3 1 W23 10492 SW17 159822 E 03/28-18 41 3 1 67 12 SW13 21 3 1 W24 9803 SW17 151092 E 03/28-19 41 3 1 63 14 SW10 17 3 1 W25 6939 SW15 104583 V 03/28-20 41 3 1 58 17 SW 8 14 3 1 W28 4074 SW14 58074 F 03/28-21 41 3 1 53 20 SW 7 7 3 1 W31 1209 SW12 11565 P 03/28-22 41 3 1 51 23 SW 8 14 3 1 W33 1051 SW12 10131 P 03/28-23 41 3 1 49 27 SW10 17 3 1 W36 894 SW12 8696 P 03/29-00 20 3 1 48 30 SW13 21 3 1 W38 736 SW12 7262 P 03/29-01 20 3 1 47 33 SW13 21 3 1 W40 748 SW12 7259 P 03/29-02 20 3 1 46 35 SW13 20 3 1 W43 761 W12 7257 P 03/29-03 20 3 1 46 36 SW12 18 3 1 W45 773 W10 7254 P 03/29-04 20 3 1 45 37 W12 18 3 1 W48 822 W10 7252 P 03/29-05 20 3 1 44 37 W10 17 2 1 W52 870 W 9 7249 P 03/29-06 14 2 0 44 36 W 8 14 2 1 W53 919 W 9 7247 P 03/29-07 14 2 0 45 35 W 8 13 2 1 W52 3014 W13 47361 F 03/29-08 14 2 0 46 34 W 7 7 2 1 W48 5110 W16 87474 G 03/29-09 14 2 0 51 29 W 7 7 2 1 W44 7206 W21 127588 V 03/29-10 14 2 0 57 23 W 8 13 2 1 W41 9785 W22 187967 E 03/29-11 14 2 0 64 17 W 9 15 2 1 W38 12364 W23 248347 E 03/29-12 24 4 1 66 14 W10 16 2 1 W36 14943 W24 308726 E 03/29-13 24 4 1 68 13 W 9 14 2 1 W32 14925 W22 283540 E 03/29-14 24 4 1 68 12 NW 7 7 2 1 W29 14906 W20 258354 E 03/29-15 24 4 1 69 11 NW 5 5 2 1 W26 14888 W18 233167 E 03/29-16 24 4 1 69 11 W 3 3 2 1 W23 13356 W15 184586 E 03/29-17 24 4 1 68 11 S 2 2 2 1 W20 11824 W13 136004 V 03/29-18 25 4 1 67 12 S 2 2 2 1 W17 10291 W 9 87423 G 03/29-19 25 4 1 63 15 S 2 2 2 1 W17 8715 W 9 72324 G 03/29-20 25 4 1 59 18 S 3 3 3 1 W17 7138 W 9 57224 F 03/29-21 25 4 1 57 21 S 5 5 3 1 W18 5561 W 9 42125 F 03/29-22 25 4 1 54 24 S 5 5 3 1 W20 4599 W 8 34244 P 03/29-23 25 4 1 52 28 SW 5 5 4 1 SW20 3638 W 8 26362 P 03/30-00 8 3 1 51 31 SW 5 5 4 1 SW21 2676 W 8 18480 P 03/30-01 8 3 1 50 33 SW 6 6 4 1 SW21 2366 W 8 16318 P 03/30-02 8 3 1 49 34 SW 6 6 3 1 W21 2056 W 8 14156 P 03/30-03 8 3 1 48 36 SW 7 7 3 1 W21 1745 W 8 11994 P 03/30-04 8 3 1 47 37 W 7 7 3 1 W21 1602 W 8 11010 P 03/30-05 8 3 1 46 38 W 7 7 3 1 W21 1460 W 8 10026 P 03/30-06 19 5 1 46 39 W 7 7 3 1 W21 1317 W 8 9042 P 03/30-07 19 5 1 45 38 W 6 6 3 1 W20 2892 W 9 23929 P 03/30-08 19 5 1 38 48 W 6 6 2 1 W18 4467 W 9 38816 P 03/30-09 19 5 1 50 29 W 5 5 2 1 W17 6042 W10 53703 F 03/30-10 19 5 1 57 21 W 5 5 2 1 W15 8498 W10 78906 G 03/30-11 19 5 1 65 15 W 3 3 2 1 W14 10954 W10 104109 V 03/30-12 26 3 1 69 13 W 3 3 2 1 W14 13410 W12 129312 V 03/30-13 26 3 1 71 12 W 3 3 2 1 W14 13699 W12 137316 V 03/30-14 26 3 1 71 12 W 3 3 2 1 W15 13987 W12 145320 V 03/30-15 26 3 1 71 12 W 3 3 2 1 W16 14275 W13 153324 E 03/30-16 26 3 1 72 12 W 3 3 2 1 NW16 12916 W12 128314 V 03/30-17 26 3 1 71 12 W 3 3 2 1 NW17 11557 W10 103304 V 03/30-18 19 2 0 69 14 W 3 3 2 1 NW18 10198 W 9 78295 G 03/30-19 19 2 0 66 16 W 5 5 2 1 NW18 8579 W 9 66763 G 03/30-20 19 2 0 62 18 W 6 6 2 1 NW18 6960 W 9 55231 F 03/30-21 19 2 0 60 20 W 7 7 2 1 NW18 5342 W 9 43700 F 03/30-22 19 2 0 58 23 W 8 13 2 1 NW18 4457 W 9 35814 P 03/30-23 19 2 0 56 26 SW 8 14 3 1 NW18 3572 W 9 27929 P 03/31-00 14 2 0 54 28 SW 9 15 3 1 NW18 2686 W 8 20043 P 03/31-01 14 2 0 53 30 SW 9 16 3 1 NW18 2291 W 9 17184 P 03/31-02 14 2 0 52 31 SW10 16 2 1 W18 1895 W 9 14325 P 03/31-03 14 2 0 51 32 SW10 16 2 1 W18 1499 W 9 11465 P 03/31-04 14 2 0 50 33 SW10 17 2 1 W20 1370 W 9 10641 P 03/31-05 14 2 0 50 34 SW10 17 2 1 W20 1241 W 9 9817 P 03/31-06 18 2 0 49 35 SW10 16 2 1 W20 1112 SW 9 8993 P 03/31-07 18 2 0 49 35 SW10 16 1 03/31-08 18 2 0 42 46 SW 9 15 1 03/31-09 18 2 0 53 30 SW 9 15 1 03/31-10 18 2 0 60 23 SW 9 15 1 03/31-11 18 2 0 67 18 SW 9 15 1 03/31-12 23 2 0 71 16 SW10 16 1 03/31-13 23 2 0 72 14 SW12 18 1 03/31-14 23 2 0 73 14 SW13 21 1 03/31-15 23 2 0 73 13 SW14 22 1 03/31-16 23 2 0 73 13 SW15 24 1 03/31-17 23 2 0 73 13 SW16 25 1 03/31-18 22 4 1 71 14 SW16 25 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PISCOPO SITL T REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120328.LOWER.01/BOU