FNUS73 KICT 280900 FWSICT SPOT FORECAST FOR SHADY CREEK EAST AND WEST...KANSAS FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 400 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MARCH 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FLIP AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST AREAWIDE BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS AS THE FRONT CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTH. LOOK FOR SPEEDS TODAY GENERALLY IN THE 12-17 MPH RANGE. THE SOUTH WINDS WILL ALSO ALLOW THE BETTER MOISTURE TO WORK BACK TO THE WEST...PRODUCING RH'S IN THE 40-50% RANGE FOR ALL AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4100-5600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 24 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........37 37 37 38 38 39 39 40 40 41 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............61 65 68 72 75 77 79 80 79 79 RH..............82 75 68 64 60 55 52 51 53 55 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.8 2.0 3.2 4.5 4.8 5.2 5.6 4.1 2.7 MIXNG WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE MIXNG WIND SPD..15 16 17 18 20 21 21 22 23 24 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 5 5 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING. CWR.................17 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 20 TO 29 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........41 46 51 55 58 60 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 73 70 68 66 65 RH..............58 68 72 73 76 79 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 10 S 10 S 10 S 9 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1900 1600 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......S 25 S 23 S 25 S 29 S 26 S 22 CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 20 TO 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 31 TO 33 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........63 51 38 37 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............64 70 78 82 RH..............83 71 58 50 20 FT WIND......SE 7G15 S 11G25 S 14G30 S 14G30 MIX HGT (FT)....500 1400 2400 4400 MIXNG WIND......SE 20 S 29 S 32 S 33 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...LAWSON REQUESTED BY...JASON HARTMAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120328.SHADY.01/ICT