FNUS72 KMHX 281508 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR 3 1 1 LAUREL BAY...ALLIGATOR RIVER NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 1108 AM EDT WED MAR 28 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP QUICKLY SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST SATURDAY AND CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THE FRONT WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE SOUTH OF THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 29 MPH. TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............27 31 33 33 34 34 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................67 73 75 76 76 75 RH..................48 43 40 38 42 46 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......15 15 16 16 16 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 30 30 30 25 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................61 66 70 73 75 75 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SPRINKLES LATE IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 26 MPH...BECOMING WEST 14 TO 16 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............35 35 35 38 43 49 54 60 62 58 49 41 WEATHER COV......... ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................74 72 70 68 67 66 65 65 64 63 63 62 RH..................57 64 71 72 75 78 81 81 84 86 86 84 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......15 14 14 14 14 14 12 12 12 11 11 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 15 LVORI...............1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 ADI.................60 43 27 23 24 20 21 21 20 17 14 12 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH...DECREASING TO 13 TO 15 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............32 23 19 18 15 13 10 7 6 6 6 6 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................62 62 63 64 66 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 RH..................83 80 74 67 61 54 52 51 49 49 47 47 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD......10 9 8 9 10 11 12 14 14 12 12 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 LVORI...............4 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................12 10 11 14 32 81 81 76 68 59 50 43 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...CULLEN REQUESTED BY...HELEN CZERNIK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120328.311__.01/MHX