FNUS73 KPAH 281219 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR HAMPTON PASTURE...USFWS CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 719 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL DRIFT SOUTHWARD INTO THE QUAD STATE REGION TODAY...BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS THE FRONT STALLS OUT JUST TO OUR SOUTH ON THURSDAY...A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER MAINLY WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY AS THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM PASSES THROUGH. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WILL REMAIN UNSEASONABLY WARM. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 79. RH..................69 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH BECOMING LIGHT NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 4600-6100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 3300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............68 71 73 75 76 77 77 77 75 RH..............69 64 59 54 49 46 43 45 50 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 3.1 4.6 5.7 6.1 6.0 5.5 4.5 3.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W NW TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 17 14 14 14 13 10 7 CWR.............0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50. RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT NORTH WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP............72 65 61 58 55 52 RH..............59 63 67 77 79 81 20 FT WIND......NW 2 N 2 N 2 NE 2 NE 3 NE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 700 200 300 300 200 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 6 N 7 NE 7 NE 6 NE 7 NE 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73. RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............51 60 68 72 RH..............83 64 51 44 20 FT WIND......E 4G5 E 6G10 E 5 E 4G5 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1600 4000 4600 TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 12 SE 8 SE 9 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...PRESLEY REQUESTED BY...ERIC PFEILSCHIFTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120328.HAMPT.01/PAH