FNUS73 KPAH 281320 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR WOLF HOLLOW...USFS MARK TWAIN NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 820 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE PRESCRIBED BURN AT NOON TODAY WILL BE SOMEWHAT HAMPERED BY THE LEADING EDGE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. AT 8 AM CDT... THIS COLD FRONT WAS ALREADY STRETCHING FROM FORT LEONARD WOOD TO POTOSI MISSOURI. IT WILL TAKE MOST OF THE AFTERNOON FOR THE ACTUAL FRONT TO MOVE PAST THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA...MOSTLY LIKELY AFTER SUNSET. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES MAY STILL DROP THE LOWEST POINT BY MID AFTERNOON...BUT THE DROP WILL BE TEMPERED BY INCREASING CLOUD COVER JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND A GRADUAL INCREASE IN CHANCES FOR RAIN AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES. GIVEN THE LOCATION OF THE PRECRIBED BURN...POOLING OF MOIST AIR MAY AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NEARBY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS FOR THE MOST PART WILL LIKELY SPREAD AT VARIOUS ANGLES ALONG THE SLOPE DUE THE PROXIMITY OF THE COLD FRONT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........75 AT IGNITION...MAX 82. RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3200-4700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4800-6300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............75 77 79 80 81 80 79 RH..............60 54 50 49 47 49 52 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 4 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 5.8 6.3 6.2 5.8 4.8 3.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 9 10 10 12 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 57. RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH DECREASING TO 2 TO 3 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 2 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............76 70 66 64 62 60 RH..............58 68 75 81 84 84 20 FT WIND......SW 2 S 1 S 1 S 1 E 2 NE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 800 100 200 200 200 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 14 SW 8 SW 3 SW 2 N 2 NE 2 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78. RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5100-6400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............58 66 73 77 RH..............83 63 57 48 20 FT WIND......E 2 E 5 SE 3G5 S 3G5 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1200 5700 6000 TRANSPORT WIND..E 3 E 3 S 8 S 10 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...SMITH REQUESTED BY...YEOMAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120328.WOLFH.01/PAH