FNUS71 KRNK 281006 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR PILOT MOUNTAIN NORTH SLOPE...NCFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 606 AM EDT WED MAR 28 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY INTO TONIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF WEST VIRGINIA... WESTERN VIRGINIA...AND NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...WITH LITTLE IF ANY COVERAGE EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM THE SOUTHWEST...YIELDING GOOD DOWNSLOPING SUBSIDENCE EAST OF THE HIGHER RIDGES OF THE APPALACHIANS. ASSUMING EASTERN REGIONS REMAIN ON THE DRY SIDE WITH LIMITED MOISTURE TODAY... THE INFLUENCE OF DRYING OF 10 HOUR FUELS WILL INCREASE INTO THURSDAY. THE COMBINATION OF LOWERING DEW POINTS AND MILD TEMPERATURES WILL PLACE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES INTO THE LOWER 20S ON THURSDAY WITH SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE 10 TO 15 MPH RANGE AND GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS INCREASE AGAIN FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. THE FOCUS AGAIN FOR THE BEST COVERAGE WILL BE OVER THE MOUNTAINS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH BY MID-MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 MPH. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............59 43 27 27 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................53 61 67 71 RH..................66 56 47 45 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 7 SW 9 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)........700 1200 1700 1900 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 14 SW 22 SW 22 SW 26 CWR.................0 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-55 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING. CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............34 45 60 47 44 37 WEATHER COV......... S CHC CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE TSTM COV............ ISOLTD ISOLTD TEMP................71 65 61 58 55 53 RH..................48 58 69 77 83 85 20 FT WIND..........SW 7 SW 5 W 5 W 4 NW 4 NW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........1400 300 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 17 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 CWR.................10 10 20 30 20 10 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH DURING THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............38 8 8 8 8 7 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................51 50 57 63 67 69 RH..................89 81 58 40 28 23 20 FT WIND..........NW 5 NW 6 NW 8 NW 9 NW 8 NW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)........300 300 1400 2500 3400 3800 TRANSPORT WIND......S 0 S 0 W 14 NW 21 NW 17 NW 18 CWR.................10 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...BEASLEY REQUESTED BY...MATT WINDSOR TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120328.PILOT.01/RNK