FNUS72 KTAE 281032
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 229...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
632 AM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL DRY DAYS WITH BORDERLINE RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND TODAY AND TOMORROW. AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT THE FIRE SITE WILL FALL TO JUST BELOW 35 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDICES WILL PEAK AROUND 80 WITH A FAIRLY UNSTABLE LOWER
ATMOSPHERE. HOWEVER...DISPERSION VALUES BECOME MORE MARGINAL
TOMORROW...SO IT IS CURRENTLY UNCERTAIN WHETHER A RED FLAG WARNING
WILL BE REQUIRED THEN. INCREASING MOISTURE FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WILL
LIMIT MOST FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AND SIGNAL THE ARRIVAL OF SOME CHANCES
OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 85.
RH..................83 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING
                    SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MAX 80.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........40     35     35     36     34
WEATHER COV.....AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     73     78     83     82
RH..............83     61     47     37     36
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 5   S 6    S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54.
RH..................MAX 99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 400-500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH BECOMING CALM AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION..........MIN 4.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........34     33     33     35     36     36
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............80     74     67     62     59     58
RH..............40     51     68     82     87     90
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 4    W 1    W 0    S 1    W 0
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     5      5

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 84.
RH..................MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6300-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MAX 68.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........37     38     38     37     36     36
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............56     56     67     76     81     84
RH..............95     94     74     56     41     34
20 FT WIND......NW 0   E 1    S 1    SW 3   SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     15     15

$$

FORECASTER...MARK WOOL
REQUESTED BY...BOB AIRHART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120328.BURNU.01/TAE