FNUS73 KTOP 281545
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST FOR POTTAWATOMIE INDIAN RESERVATION...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1045 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1040 CDT ON MARCH 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WARM FRONT CURRENTLY POSITIONED EAST TO WEST FROM ABILENE TO TOPEKA AND LAWRENCE
WILL LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH INCREASING DEWPOINTS TO
AROUND 60 DEGREES. LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL SWITCH AND INCREASE FROM
THE EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. UNCERTAINTY
EXISTS ON HOW FAR NORTHWARD THE WARM FRONT LIFTS WHICH MAY IMPACT DEWPOINT
TEMPERATURES AND WINDS. HOWEVER THE WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE VICINITY
OR JUST NORTH OF THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA BY THE AFTERNOON PERIOD. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIKELY BY THE
EVENING HOURS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH LARGE HAIL AND STRONG
GUSTY WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS TOWARD LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.
                    CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 77.
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 54.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST BETWEEN 5 AND 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE WINDS BECOME
                    EAST SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /24500 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
                    MAX...EXCELLENT /75300 KNOT-FT/.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    EVENING. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 58.
RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN...POOR /4400 KNOT-FT/.

$$
FORECASTER...BOWEN
REQUESTED BY...ADAM ROGERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120328.POTTA.01/TOP