FNUS73 KUNR 290335
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BAUMAN FIRE...PINE RIDGE AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
935 PM MDT WED MAR 28 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2102 MDT ON MARCH 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...
IT WILL BE RELATIVELY MILD OVERNIGHT AS SOUTH WINDS BRING MORE
MOIST AIR NORTHWARD FROM NEBRASKA. THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME LOW
CLOUDS AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE AIR ALSO WILL BECOME MORE UNSTABLE
OVERNIGHT...AND THIS COULD LEAD TO AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO
BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 900 AM MDT. OTHERWISE...A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH TOWARD MORNING...WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE EXPECTED AROUND 600
TO 700 AM MDT. THE COMBINATION OF THE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS COULD PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 TO 900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...BUT
                    CLEARING FOR THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 24 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 TO 7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...MB
REQUESTED BY...TAMARA J  RANDALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120328.BAUMA.01/UNR