FNUS75 KBOU 300255 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LOWER NORTH FORK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 855 PM MDT THU MAR 29 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...LOOKS LIKE THE DRAINAGE WINDS MAY HAVE KICKED IN ALREADY AT THE BURN AREA. NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. WINDS WILL BE PRETTY LIGHT AT THE BURN AREA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THERE IS SOME UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE BURN AREA CURRENTLY. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE MUCH OF THE NIGHT. UNFORTUNATELY PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-41 MAX HUMIDITY........35-45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN WEST-SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 4 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST AROUND 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71. MIN HUMIDITY........8-13%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-12 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 5-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 10200-11200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44. MAX HUMIDITY........35-45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72. MIN HUMIDITY........11%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 10000-11000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LOWER NORTH FORK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/29-20 18 0 0 54 20 N 3 3 3 1 SW17 2193 NE 6 16340 P 03/29-21 20 0 0 50 25 NW 3 3 3 1 SW17 274 N 3 862 P 03/29-22 20 0 0 47 30 NW 3 3 3 1 SW20 248 N 5 961 P 03/29-23 20 0 0 44 35 NW 5 5 3 1 SW23 222 NW 6 1059 P 03/30-00 29 0 0 43 38 W 6 6 3 1 SW26 195 NW 7 1158 P 03/30-01 29 0 0 41 39 W 6 6 3 1 W26 202 W 8 1340 P 03/30-02 29 0 0 40 38 W 7 7 2 1 W26 208 W 8 1521 P 03/30-03 29 0 0 39 39 SW 7 7 2 1 W25 214 W 9 1702 P 03/30-04 29 0 0 39 42 SW 8 8 2 1 W24 222 W 9 1681 P 03/30-05 29 0 0 39 46 SW 8 8 2 1 NW24 229 W 8 1660 P 03/30-06 26 0 0 40 48 SW 8 8 2 1 NW24 237 W 8 1640 P 03/30-07 26 0 0 40 46 SW 7 7 2 1 NW24 1408 W 9 13585 P 03/30-08 26 0 0 44 38 SW 6 6 2 1 NW25 2579 W10 25530 P 03/30-09 12 0 0 49 29 SW 5 5 2 1 NW26 3750 W12 37475 P 03/30-10 12 0 0 55 22 SW 3 3 2 1 NW31 5540 W14 72312 G 03/30-11 12 0 0 60 18 W 2 2 2 1 NW35 7330 W16 107149 V 03/30-12 19 0 0 64 15 W 2 2 2 1 NW38 9120 W18 141986 V 03/30-13 19 0 0 68 13 W 2 2 2 1 NW37 9984 W17 152148 E 03/30-14 19 0 0 70 12 W 3 3 2 1 NW35 10849 W17 162309 E 03/30-15 19 0 0 71 12 W 5 5 2 1 W32 11714 W17 172471 E 03/30-16 19 0 0 71 12 W 6 6 2 1 W30 10828 W16 152611 E 03/30-17 19 0 0 69 13 W 7 7 2 1 W26 9941 W15 132752 V 03/30-18 19 0 0 65 16 W 7 7 2 1 W24 9054 W14 112893 V 03/30-19 19 0 0 63 18 W 7 7 2 1 NW23 6635 W13 80754 G 03/30-20 19 0 0 58 22 W 6 6 2 1 NW21 4216 W12 48615 F 03/30-21 19 0 0 53 28 W 5 5 2 1 NW20 1796 W10 16476 P 03/30-22 19 0 0 49 34 W 6 5 2 1 W18 331 W 6 1417 P 03/30-23 19 0 0 47 38 SW 7 6 2 1 W17 275 W 6 1391 P 03/31-00 13 0 0 45 41 SW 8 7 2 1 W16 219 W 7 1366 P 03/31-01 13 0 0 44 43 SW 9 8 2 1 W17 210 W 7 1356 P 03/31-02 13 0 0 43 45 W 9 13 2 1 W18 201 W 8 1345 P 03/31-03 13 0 0 42 46 W10 13 2 1 W21 192 W 8 1335 P 03/31-04 13 0 0 42 48 W10 13 2 1 W22 185 W 8 1221 P 03/31-05 13 0 0 41 50 W 9 7 2 1 W22 177 W 7 1106 P 03/31-06 13 0 0 41 49 SW 8 7 2 1 W23 170 W 7 992 P 03/31-07 13 0 0 43 44 SW 8 7 2 1 W23 559 SW 6 2541 P 03/31-08 13 0 0 47 36 SW 7 7 2 1 W23 948 SW 6 4091 P 03/31-09 13 0 0 52 29 SW 7 7 2 1 W23 1337 S 5 5640 P 03/31-10 13 0 0 58 22 SW 7 7 2 1 W23 4187 SW 8 46041 F 03/31-11 13 0 0 64 17 SW 7 7 2 1 W23 7037 SW12 86442 G 03/31-12 13 0 0 68 14 S 7 7 2 1 W24 9888 W15 126843 V 03/31-13 13 0 0 70 12 SW 9 14 2 1 W25 10520 SW17 154831 E 03/31-14 13 0 0 71 11 SW12 17 2 1 W28 11152 SW18 182819 E 03/31-15 13 0 0 72 11 SW13 21 2 1 W30 11784 SW21 210807 E 03/31-16 13 0 0 71 12 SW13 20 2 1 W31 10709 SW21 196293 E 03/31-17 13 0 0 69 14 SW12 18 2 1 W31 9633 SW22 181779 E 03/31-18 14 0 0 68 16 SW10 16 2 1 W31 8558 SW23 167265 E 03/31-19 14 0 0 63 20 SW10 16 2 1 W31 5805 SW20 112777 V 03/31-20 14 0 0 58 25 SW 9 15 2 1 W30 3053 SW17 58289 F 03/31-21 14 0 0 53 30 SW 9 15 2 1 W29 300 SW15 3801 P 03/31-22 14 0 0 50 33 SW 9 15 3 1 W26 297 SW15 3798 P 03/31-23 14 0 0 49 34 SW 9 15 3 1 W24 294 SW15 3796 P 04/01-00 14 0 0 47 35 SW 9 15 4 1 W22 291 SW15 3793 P 04/01-01 14 0 0 46 36 SW 9 15 4 1 SW22 305 SW15 4110 P 04/01-02 14 0 0 46 37 SW10 16 4 1 SW22 320 SW16 4427 P 04/01-03 14 0 0 45 37 SW10 16 4 1 SW22 335 W16 4744 P 04/01-04 14 0 0 44 38 SW10 17 4 1 SW22 418 W16 5675 P 04/01-05 14 0 0 44 38 SW10 17 4 1 SW23 502 W15 6605 P 04/01-06 25 0 0 44 37 SW10 16 4 1 SW25 585 W15 7536 P 04/01-07 25 0 0 45 35 SW10 16 4 1 SW29 1435 W15 20362 P 04/01-08 25 0 0 48 31 SW 9 15 4 1 SW33 2285 W16 33188 P 04/01-09 25 0 0 52 26 SW 9 15 4 1 SW39 3135 W17 46014 F 04/01-10 25 0 0 57 22 SW 9 14 3 1 SW44 4488 W20 79383 G 04/01-11 25 0 0 62 17 SW 9 14 3 1 SW48 5842 SW21 112752 V 04/01-12 52 4 1 67 15 SW 9 15 2 1 SW51 7195 SW23 146120 V 04/01-13 52 4 1 69 13 SW10 16 2 1 SW53 7928 SW24 168175 E 04/01-14 52 4 1 70 12 SW12 18 2 1 SW54 8661 SW25 190229 E 04/01-15 52 4 1 70 12 SW13 21 2 1 SW52 9393 SW26 212283 E 04/01-16 52 4 1 70 12 SW13 21 2 1 SW48 8797 SW25 192514 E 04/01-17 52 4 1 69 13 W13 20 2 1 SW44 8200 SW24 172744 E 04/01-18 60 17 3 67 14 W12 18 2 1 SW38 7603 SW23 152975 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ROCCO SNART FBAN T REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120329.LOWER.02/BOU