FNUS73 KLSX 291543
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LEWIS HOLLOW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1043 AM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON.  TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB WELL ABOVE NORMAL AGAIN TODAY
AS MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLS TO AROUND 45 PERCENT.  FUEL
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE 10 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS DURING MID AND LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1500...THEN 1-8 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 79.
RH..................63 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....CALM.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS EAST AROUND 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WIND IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS DURING MID AND LATE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000FT AGL AT IGNITION...
                    5900 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (6520 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55.
RH..................MAX 99 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST WIND 2 TO 4 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND 6 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................9-15 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77.
RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHWEST WIND 2 TO 4 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........NORTHWEST WIND 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 17 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (12883 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...BRITT
REQUESTED BY...CHARLENE NAZARENKO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120329.LEWIS.01/LSX