FNUS73 KMPX 291344
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER PARK...FWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
844 AM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LOOK FOR INCREASING SOUTHEAST WINDS LATE THIS MORNING AND THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WHICH WILL MOVE INTO
WESTERN MINNESOTA BY EARLY EVENING.  PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THIS
MORNING AND MOST OF THE AFTERNOON WILL YEILD TO MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES
LATE IN THE DAY. A SHOWER POSSIBLE LATE IN THE DAY WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING LIKELY TONIGHT. A LINGERING SHOWER POSSIBLE
EARLY FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 20
                    PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 57.
RH..................51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 12 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 16
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (12400-61500) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (65900-71900) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-3700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 20 TO 26 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............41     47     52     55     56     52
RH..............65     54     42     39     47     56
20 FT WIND......SE 11  SE 12  SE 14  SE 14  SE 14  SE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     18     20     20     25     15
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      4      4      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS WITH
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 51.
RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING BECOMING EAST.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (6000-23000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1600 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 3 TO
                    9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...PAULSON
REQUESTED BY...LEE NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120329.DEERP.01/MPX