FNUS75 KBOU 302119 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LOWER NORTH FORK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 319 PM MDT FRI MAR 30 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL COVER COLORADO NOW THROUGH SATURDAY. BY SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE ON THE INCREASE...CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL PUSH ACROSS COLORADO THROUGH MID DAY MONDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE BURN AREA ON SATURDAY AND CONTINUE FAIRLY STRONG SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. WITH THE UPPER TROUGH APPROACHING SUNDAY NIGHT...WINDS WILL DECREASE. BEHIND THE TROUGH ON MONDAY...COOLER ...MORE MOIST WEATHER IS EXPECTED. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45. MAX HUMIDITY........35-45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78. MIN HUMIDITY........6-11%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 14-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 12600-13600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-49. MAX HUMIDITY........25-35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 1000-1800 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2400...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76. MIN HUMIDITY........9-14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 9000-10000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LOWER NORTH FORK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/30-14 36 0 0 70 13 W 6 6 2 1 NW21 10237 W14 120878 V 03/30-15 36 0 0 71 13 W 6 6 2 1 NW18 11065 W13 119862 V 03/30-16 36 0 0 71 13 W 7 7 2 1 W17 10137 W14 117053 V 03/30-17 36 0 0 69 14 W 8 8 2 1 W17 9209 W15 114244 V 03/30-18 50 0 0 66 16 W 8 13 2 1 W17 8282 W15 111435 V 03/30-19 50 0 0 64 18 W 7 7 2 1 W16 6599 W15 87426 G 03/30-20 50 0 0 60 22 W 6 6 2 1 SW14 4917 W15 63417 G 03/30-21 35 0 0 55 28 SW 5 5 2 1 SW13 3234 W14 39408 P 03/30-22 35 0 0 51 33 SW 5 5 2 1 SW12 2339 W13 27921 P 03/30-23 35 0 0 49 36 SW 6 6 2 1 W12 1443 W12 16434 P 03/31-00 35 0 0 48 38 SW 7 7 2 1 W12 548 W10 4947 P 03/31-01 35 0 0 46 41 W 8 13 2 1 W12 462 W10 4224 P 03/31-02 35 0 0 45 43 W 9 15 2 1 W13 376 W10 3501 P 03/31-03 35 0 0 44 45 W10 16 2 1 W14 290 W12 2778 P 03/31-04 35 0 0 43 46 W12 17 2 1 W14 304 W10 2827 P 03/31-05 35 0 0 44 46 W12 17 2 1 W14 318 W10 2875 P 03/31-06 15 0 0 44 44 SW10 16 2 1 W14 332 W10 2923 P 03/31-07 15 0 0 45 41 SW 8 14 2 1 W13 1310 W 9 7623 P 03/31-08 15 0 0 49 34 SW 6 6 2 1 W12 2288 W 7 12322 P 03/31-09 15 0 0 54 26 SW 5 5 2 1 W10 3267 W 6 17021 P 03/31-10 15 0 0 61 20 SW 3 3 2 1 W13 6036 W 8 52745 F 03/31-11 15 0 0 66 16 S 5 5 2 1 W15 8805 W10 88468 G 03/31-12 13 0 0 71 13 S 6 6 2 1 W17 11574 SW13 124192 V 03/31-13 13 0 0 74 11 S 9 15 2 1 W21 12374 SW15 162194 E 03/31-14 13 0 0 77 9 SW14 22 2 1 W24 13173 SW17 200195 E 03/31-15 13 0 0 78 9 SW17 28 2 1 W28 13973 SW20 238197 E 03/31-16 13 0 0 78 9 SW17 29 2 1 W28 13261 SW21 237865 E 03/31-17 13 0 0 76 11 SW16 26 2 1 W28 12548 W22 237534 E 03/31-18 14 0 0 76 12 SW15 24 2 1 W26 11835 W23 237202 E 03/31-19 14 0 0 72 15 SW14 22 2 1 W28 9011 W24 184245 E 03/31-20 14 0 0 65 19 SW12 20 3 1 W28 6186 SW25 131288 V 03/31-21 14 0 0 60 23 SW10 16 4 1 W29 3362 SW26 78331 G 03/31-22 14 0 0 57 26 SW10 16 4 1 W28 2572 SW28 60716 G 03/31-23 14 0 0 55 27 SW10 16 4 1 W28 1783 SW29 43102 F 04/01-00 13 0 0 54 27 SW10 16 4 1 W29 994 SW30 25487 P 04/01-01 13 0 0 53 28 SW12 18 4 1 SW32 982 SW29 24842 P 04/01-02 13 0 0 52 29 SW13 20 4 1 SW36 971 SW29 24198 P 04/01-03 13 0 0 51 30 SW13 21 4 1 SW39 959 SW29 23553 P 04/01-04 13 0 0 49 31 SW13 20 4 1 SW43 1064 SW26 24334 P 04/01-05 13 0 0 48 33 SW12 18 4 1 SW46 1170 SW25 25114 P 04/01-06 21 0 0 48 32 SW10 16 4 1 SW48 1276 SW23 25895 P 04/01-07 21 0 0 49 30 SW 9 14 4 1 SW49 2377 SW26 58609 F 04/01-08 21 0 0 53 25 SW 8 8 4 1 SW51 3478 SW29 91323 G 04/01-09 21 0 0 58 21 SW 7 7 4 1 SW53 4579 SW31 124037 V 04/01-10 21 0 0 63 17 SW 8 13 3 1 SW58 5637 SW32 162629 E 04/01-11 21 0 0 68 14 SW 9 15 3 1 SW62 6695 SW35 201222 E 04/01-12 45 1 0 72 12 SW12 18 2 1 SW67 7754 SW36 239815 E 04/01-13 45 1 0 73 11 SW13 21 2 1 SW69 8260 SW36 252421 E 04/01-14 45 1 0 74 11 SW15 24 2 1 SW69 8767 SW35 265028 E 04/01-15 45 1 0 74 11 SW16 25 2 1 SW66 9273 SW35 277634 E 04/01-16 45 1 0 73 11 SW17 28 2 1 SW55 9799 SW33 279188 E 04/01-17 45 1 0 72 11 SW18 29 2 1 SW43 10324 SW31 280742 E 04/01-18 55 10 2 70 12 SW17 28 2 1 SW35 10850 SW30 282296 E 04/01-19 55 10 2 65 14 SW14 22 2 1 SW35 8760 SW25 208883 E 04/01-20 55 10 2 58 19 SW 9 15 2 1 SW39 6670 SW21 135469 V 04/01-21 55 10 2 52 24 SW 6 6 2 1 SW45 4581 SW16 62056 G 04/01-22 55 10 2 49 27 W 5 5 2 1 SW46 4219 W15 56156 F 04/01-23 55 10 2 47 30 NW 5 5 2 1 S47 3857 N15 50256 F 04/02-00 84 45 22 45 33 N 6 6 2 1 S44 3495 N15 44356 F 04/02-01 84 45 22 43 36 N 7 7 2 1 S36 4103 N20 73536 G 04/02-02 84 45 22 42 39 N 8 13 2 1 SE25 4712 N24 102717 V 04/02-03 84 45 22 40 43 N 9 15 2 1 SE20 5320 N29 131898 V 04/02-04 84 45 22 38 47 N 9 15 2 1 E22 5333 N31 146554 V 04/02-05 84 45 22 37 50 N10 16 2 1 E29 5347 N35 161210 E 04/02-06 87 49 25 36 51 N10 16 2 1 E35 5360 N38 175866 E 04/02-07 87 49 25 38 47 N12 18 2 1 E36 6297 N37 201733 E 04/02-08 87 49 25 40 41 N12 20 2 1 NE35 7233 N37 227600 E 04/02-09 87 49 25 43 35 N13 21 2 1 NE31 8170 N36 253467 E 04/02-10 87 49 25 46 29 N13 21 2 1 NE25 8715 N32 244918 E 04/02-11 87 49 25 49 25 N13 21 2 1 N20 9261 N30 236368 E 04/02-12 76 35 13 50 23 N13 21 2 1 N15 9807 N26 227819 E 04/02-13 76 35 13 50 23 N13 20 2 1 N15 9443 N25 212369 E 04/02-14 76 35 13 50 23 N12 20 2 1 NW18 9078 N25 196919 E 04/02-15 76 35 13 50 23 N12 18 2 1 W22 8713 NW24 181469 E 04/02-16 76 35 13 49 24 N12 18 2 1 W24 8862 NW24 190699 E 04/02-17 76 35 13 49 25 N10 17 2 1 NW25 9010 NW25 199929 E 04/02-18 62 18 4 48 27 N10 16 2 1 NW28 9159 NW26 209159 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ROCCO SNART FBAN T REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120330.LOWER.01/BOU