FNUS71 KCTP 291148 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR BABCOCK RX BURN...PA BUREAU OF FORESTRY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 748 AM EDT THU MAR 29 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING SOUTH ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA TODAY...BRINGING MOSTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY WEATHER. THE GUSTY NORTHWEST WIND...COMBINED WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING TO AROUND 35 PERCENT...WILL RESULT IN AN ELEVATED FIRE THREAT TODAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY. HIGH PRESSURE PASSING OVER THE STATE WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES...DIMINISHING WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES TONIGHT. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE MIDWEST WILL SPREAD INCREASING CLOUDS INTO THE COMMONWEALTH ON FRIDAY WITH THE CHANCE OF RAIN BY LATE IN THE DAY ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE STATE. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 2 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 2 TO 10 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 12 TO 17 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............17 29 38 53 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE RAIN RAIN TSTM COV............ TEMP................36 45 51 53 RH..................68 55 49 50 20 FT WIND..........S 6 SE 7 S 9 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........1600 2400 2800 3100 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 7 S 10 S 12 S 15 LAL.................1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 5 5 .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-2100 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 1800-2700 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 30 TO 37 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............74 90 93 97 100 99 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TSTM COV............ TEMP................52 50 48 47 45 43 RH..................55 65 76 89 100 100 20 FT WIND..........S 10 SE 9 S 10 S 10 W 9 W 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 25 25 20 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........2300 1000 300 1100 2700 2300 TRANSPORT WIND......S 18 S 20 S 14 SW 21 W 37 W 36 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 2 2 2 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF DRIZZLE EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING. TRANSPORT WINDS..... HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............99 98 88 74 64 60 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................41 39 42 44 46 46 RH..................100 97 84 72 64 63 20 FT WIND..........W 9 W 9 W 9 W 9 W 8 NW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 15 15 15 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...DANGELO REQUESTED BY...RICK MEINTEL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120330.BABCO.01/CTP