FNUS71 KCTP 300709 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR SCOTIA UNIT 4...PA GAME COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 309 AM EDT FRI MAR 30 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING EAST ACROSS THE STATE THIS MORNING WILL PROVIDE DRY WEATHER FOR THE REGION INTO THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS EARLY TODAY WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE MIDWEST WILL SPREAD THICKENING CLOUDS ACROSS THE COMMONWEALTH LATER THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN BY LATE IN THE DAY ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE STATE. THE RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND COULD MIX WITH SNOW AT TIMES LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF WILLIAMSPORT. A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS OF SOUTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA LATE TONIGHT. MAINLY CLOUDY AND COOL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AREAS OF DRIZZLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............25 35 41 47 52 62 73 WEATHER COV......... SCH WEATHER TYPE........ RN TSTM COV............ TEMP................43 45 47 49 52 51 50 RH..................53 50 45 42 41 45 50 20 FT WIND DIR......E E SE SE S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......2 2 3 5 6 6 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.7 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE SE SE S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....3 5 6 7 8 9 10 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 5 5 5 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN. A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1100-1400 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 18 MPH...INCREASING TO 23 TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............83 94 99 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.........CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC WEATHER TYPE........RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TSTM COV............ TEMP................50 49 48 47 46 45 44 44 43 42 41 41 RH..................53 57 64 70 76 83 86 89 92 93 94 95 20 FT WIND DIR......S SE SE E E E E E NE NE NE N 20 FT WIND SPD......6 5 3 6 7 7 6 5 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......3.5 3.4 3.2 2.9 2.6 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.2 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....13 15 18 23 28 30 30 29 25 23 20 15 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3200-3900 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............100 100 100 98 93 88 83 78 76 74 69 55 WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RN RN RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................40 41 41 42 43 43 44 45 47 47 47 47 RH..................96 92 88 85 82 80 76 72 69 68 67 67 20 FT WIND DIR......N NW NE NE N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.2 1.5 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S SE SE E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.....10 6 5 6 9 13 14 13 12 12 10 9 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...LAMBERT REQUESTED BY...PAT MCELHENNY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120330.SCOTI.01/CTP