FNUS73 KICT 300958 FWSICT SPOT FORECAST FOR TALLGRASS PATCH BURN...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 458 AM CDT FRI MAR 30 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THERE IS A FRONT APPROXIMATELY 50 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BURN LOCATION AS OF 4 AM. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND DRIFT NORTH DURING THE DAY WITH WINDS GENERALLY VEERING TO THE EAST AND THEN SOUTH THIS EVENING. GIVEN THE TERRAIN AND WEAK FLOW/SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AT THE BURN SITE...LOCAL EFFECTS MAY BE THE SIGNIFICANT AND OVERRIDE THE PREVAILING LARGE SCALE FLOW TODAY. WINDS SHOULD BE STRONGER AND MORE PREDICTABLE ON SAT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79. MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-4700 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........11 14 17 19 18 17 15 14 12 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............66 69 72 74 76 78 78 78 78 RH..............65 58 53 48 43 39 36 34 34 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE E E E SE 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.9 2.7 3.6 4.0 4.3 4.7 4.5 4.2 MIXNG WIND DIR..N N N NE NE E E E SE MIXNG WIND SPD..9 8 7 6 5 5 5 6 7 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........11 11 11 11 16 21 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............76 70 67 64 62 61 RH..............35 45 56 67 75 81 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 4 S 4 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....4000 1500 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......SE 9 SE 13 SE 14 S 14 S 15 S 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 3 3 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-5900 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........26 21 16 14 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 67 77 81 RH..............87 68 51 42 20 FT WIND......S 5 SW 5G10 S 7G15 S 10G20 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1500 4800 5900 MIXNG WIND......S 16 SW 14 S 13 SW 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 6 5 $$ FORECASTER...HOWERTON REQUESTED BY...JASON PANKRATZ TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120330.TALLG.01/ICT