FNUS73 KPAH 301305
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE BLACK...MISSOURI DEPT CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
805 AM CDT FRI MAR 30 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 30.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA WILL BE ON THE VERY OUTER LIMITS OF THE
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TODAY...SO THE THREAT FOR RAIN SHOULD
BE MINIMAL. HOWEVER...WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY PICK UP IN ADVANCE OF THE
RAIN FURTHER EAST AROUND IGNITION TIME AND THROUGH THE NOON HOUR.

COMPARED TO THURSDAY...HIGHER MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES CAN BE EXPECTED
TODAY. THERE SHOULD BE SUFFICENT DEPTH TO THE MIXING LAYER AND STRONGER
MIXING HEIGHT WINDS TO DISPERSE ANY SMOKE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 79.
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1200-2900
                    FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............68  71  73  75  77  78  78  77  76
RH..............70  65  62  59  56  55  56  58  59
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   6   7   7   7   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.9 3.5 4.0 4.7 5.5 6.2 6.7 7.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.17  16  16  15  15  16  16  16  16

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...STEVE PAES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120330.LITTL.01/PAH