FNUS71 KRNK 301521 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR FS CABIN PLUMMER RIDGE...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1121 AM EDT FRI MAR 30 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1110 EDT ON MARCH 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LIGHT SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED INITIALLY...INCREASING BY EARLY AFTERNOON TO AS MUCH AS 10-14 MPH ALONG THE RIDGE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED BY 3PM OR LATER THIS AFTERNOON...AND WINDS COULD BE GUSTY AND VARIABLE NEAR ANY STORMS...BUT WOULD TEND TO BE MORE FROM THE WEST. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING... AND THEN AGAIN TOWARD SATURDAY MORNING...WITH BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT FOR SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH...INCREASING TO 8 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............25 47 59 70 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................62 63 65 65 RH..................55 52 43 43 20 FT WIND..........SW 4 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 12 14 15 MIX HGT (FT)........2200 2500 2800 2500 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 8 SW 14 SW 14 SW 12 CWR.................10 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX........3 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CWR (0.01 IN).......40 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 6 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............64 70 63 61 62 64 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................63 59 57 55 53 52 RH..................47 58 70 77 83 85 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 6 W 8 W 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 15 15 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)........1400 500 400 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......S 6 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 CWR.................40 40 30 30 20 30 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 14 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 24 TO 33 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO AROUND 35 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............65 54 32 23 16 15 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................51 51 56 60 63 65 RH..................88 86 78 68 57 49 20 FT WIND..........W 10 W 5 W 7 W 10 W 10 W 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 10 15 20 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)........300 300 1100 2000 2900 2500 TRANSPORT WIND......S 0 S 0 SW 9 W 20 W 29 W 33 CWR.................30 20 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...KEIGHTON REQUESTED BY...RON NIXON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120330.FSCAB.01/RNK