FNUS71 KRNK 301746 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE HEAVEN RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 146 PM EDT FRI MAR 30 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1105 EDT ON MARCH 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CLOUD COVER DECREASING OVER THE BURN LOCATION...WITH SHOWERS DEVELOPING NOT FAR TO THE NORTH. BELIEVE THE MAJORITY OF SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN TO THE NORTH THROUGH AT LEAST 4 PM...BUT SHOWER ACTIVITY INCREASING THEREAFTER. ANY SHOWERS WHICH DO MOVE ACROSS THE BURN ARE NOT EXPECTED TO LAST LONG BEFORE MOVING AWAY. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE BY LATE AFTERNOON AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES OUR AREA FROM THE WEST. EXPECT WETTING RAINS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WILL NOT SEE MUCH CHANGE IN WINDSPEED AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS THE DOMINANT FEATURE ACROSS OUR AREA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDS INCREASING (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 8 MPH...INCREASING TO 10 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............55 62 69 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC S CHC TEMP................66 67 68 RH..................47 44 44 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 SW 3 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 CWR.................10 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CWR (0.01 IN).......40 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 16 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............72 70 63 61 61 63 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE RNSHWR TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................67 63 61 58 57 55 RH..................47 58 69 76 82 85 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 W 6 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 15 20 CWR.................30 40 30 20 10 20 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 22 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 24 TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............64 52 30 19 13 17 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................53 53 59 63 67 68 RH..................89 87 79 68 56 49 20 FT WIND..........W 10 W 4 W 6 W 7 W 9 W 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 10 15 15 20 20 CWR.................20 20 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...FILLO REQUESTED BY...RON NIXON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120330.HORSE.01/RNK