FNUS75 KBOU 010250 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LOWER NORTH FORK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 851 PM MDT SAT MAR 31 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MDT SUNDAY... .DISCUSSION...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY EVENING...BEFORE DECREASING AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO COLORADO ON MONDAY. STRONG LOW LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THEY WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE BURN AREA. COOLER TEMPERATURES...LIGHTER WINDS...MORE MOISTURE....AND A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ARE ALL EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-48. MAX HUMIDITY........30-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-76. MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTHWEST 10-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20-30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 7800-8800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE......34-41. MAX HUMIDITY........45-55%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST-SOUTH WINDS 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN NORTH 10-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTH 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 4400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 2400 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0400...THEN 2000-3000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR UNTIL 0400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0500...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-45. MIN HUMIDITY........30-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 14-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 28-36 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHEAST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LOWER NORTH FORK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/31-20 20 0 0 63 21 SW12 18 3 1 W26 2715 SW15 34780 P 03/31-21 20 0 0 58 25 SW 9 15 4 1 W25 892 SW15 11531 P 03/31-22 20 0 0 54 28 SW 8 14 4 1 W23 712 SW16 9457 P 03/31-23 20 0 0 52 30 SW 9 14 4 1 SW20 532 SW16 7383 P 04/01-00 15 0 0 50 31 SW 9 15 4 1 SW17 352 SW17 5309 P 04/01-01 15 0 0 48 33 SW 9 16 4 1 SW18 337 SW17 5196 P 04/01-02 15 0 0 47 34 SW10 16 4 1 SW21 323 SW18 5084 P 04/01-03 15 0 0 46 35 SW10 16 4 1 SW23 308 W18 4971 P 04/01-04 15 0 0 46 36 SW 9 15 4 1 SW22 402 W18 6516 P 04/01-05 15 0 0 46 35 SW 8 13 4 1 SW22 497 W18 8062 P 04/01-06 21 0 0 47 34 SW 7 7 4 1 SW22 592 W18 9607 P 04/01-07 21 0 0 47 32 SW 7 7 4 1 SW24 1257 W20 21695 P 04/01-08 21 0 0 50 29 SW 7 7 4 1 SW26 1921 W20 33782 P 04/01-09 21 0 0 54 24 SW 7 7 4 1 SW31 2586 W21 45870 F 04/01-10 21 0 0 60 19 SW 8 13 4 1 SW36 3979 SW22 82031 G 04/01-11 21 0 0 64 16 SW 9 16 3 1 SW41 5372 SW24 118192 V 04/01-12 44 0 0 68 14 SW12 18 3 1 SW46 6765 SW26 154352 E 04/01-13 44 0 0 71 12 SW14 21 3 1 SW49 7653 SW26 178793 E 04/01-14 44 0 0 73 11 S15 24 2 1 SW53 8540 SW28 203234 E 04/01-15 44 0 0 74 11 S16 25 2 1 SW53 9428 SW28 227675 E 04/01-16 44 0 0 73 11 S17 28 2 1 SW51 8481 SW25 192983 E 04/01-17 44 0 0 71 12 SW17 28 2 1 SW47 7534 SW24 158291 E 04/01-18 55 7 1 67 14 SW16 28 2 1 SW44 6588 SW22 123600 V 04/01-19 55 7 1 64 16 SW13 22 2 1 SW44 4482 SW17 83198 G 04/01-20 55 7 1 58 19 SW 9 16 2 1 SW44 2376 SW14 42797 F 04/01-21 55 7 1 52 24 SW 7 12 2 1 SW43 270 SW10 2396 P 04/01-22 55 7 1 47 29 W 5 5 2 1 SW41 235 W 8 1839 P 04/01-23 55 7 1 44 33 NW 3 3 2 1 S38 201 NW 7 1282 P 04/02-00 89 54 29 42 36 N 5 5 2 1 S36 167 N 5 725 P 04/02-01 89 54 29 40 40 N 8 14 2 1 S32 307 N12 4812 P 04/02-02 89 54 29 39 44 N13 21 2 1 S30 447 N18 8899 P 04/02-03 89 54 29 38 47 NE16 28 2 1 S26 586 N25 12985 P 04/02-04 89 54 29 37 50 N17 30 2 1 S24 1863 N29 56018 F 04/02-05 89 54 29 37 49 N18 31 2 1 SE23 3141 N33 99050 G 04/02-06 94 82 71 38 48 N18 31 2 1 SE22 4418 N37 142082 V 04/02-07 94 82 71 39 44 N18 32 2 1 SE22 4620 N36 143918 V 04/02-08 94 82 71 37 47 N18 32 2 1 SE21 4823 N35 145754 V 04/02-09 94 82 71 38 42 N18 31 2 1 SE21 5025 N33 147590 V 04/02-10 94 82 71 39 38 N18 31 2 1 SE21 5158 N31 139243 V 04/02-11 94 82 71 41 35 N17 30 2 1 SE20 5291 NE29 130897 V 04/02-12 92 59 36 42 32 N17 30 2 1 SE20 5424 NE26 122551 V 04/02-13 92 59 36 42 30 N16 28 2 1 SE22 5461 NE24 112545 V 04/02-14 92 59 36 43 29 N16 26 2 1 S24 5498 NE22 102540 V 04/02-15 92 59 36 43 29 N15 25 2 1 S26 5535 NE20 92535 G 04/02-16 92 59 36 43 30 N15 25 2 1 S26 5494 NE18 87758 G 04/02-17 92 59 36 42 32 N15 24 2 1 S26 5453 N17 82981 G 04/02-18 87 37 15 41 34 N14 23 2 1 S24 5412 N16 78204 G 04/02-19 87 37 15 40 36 N13 21 2 1 S21 5061 N16 70502 G 04/02-20 87 37 15 39 40 N10 17 2 1 SE16 4710 N15 62800 G 04/02-21 87 37 15 37 44 N 9 16 2 1 SE13 4359 N15 55098 F 04/02-22 87 37 15 35 46 N 9 16 2 1 SE10 3826 N14 46995 F 04/02-23 87 37 15 34 48 N10 18 2 1 SE10 3294 N14 38892 P 04/03-00 66 37 15 34 50 N12 20 2 1 E10 2761 N13 30789 P 04/03-01 66 37 15 33 51 N12 18 2 1 E12 2872 N13 30351 P 04/03-02 66 37 15 33 52 NW10 17 2 1 E13 2982 N12 29914 P 04/03-03 66 37 15 32 54 NW 9 16 2 1 E14 3092 N12 29476 P 04/03-04 66 37 15 32 58 NW 8 14 2 1 E15 3059 N10 28107 P 04/03-05 66 37 15 32 61 N 7 7 2 1 NE17 3026 N10 26738 P 04/03-06 68 22 4 32 64 N 6 6 2 1 NE18 2992 N 9 25369 P 04/03-07 68 22 4 33 64 N 5 5 2 1 NE21 3283 N 9 26407 P 04/03-08 68 22 4 35 58 N 5 5 2 1 NE23 3574 N 9 27446 P 04/03-09 68 22 4 38 51 N 5 5 2 1 NE25 3864 N 8 28484 P 04/03-10 68 22 4 41 44 N 5 5 2 1 NE24 4280 N 8 31498 P 04/03-11 68 22 4 44 38 NE 5 5 2 1 NE22 4696 N 8 34512 P 04/03-12 44 10 2 46 34 NE 5 5 2 1 NE20 5112 N 8 37526 P 04/03-13 44 10 2 48 32 NE 5 5 2 1 NE16 5291 N10 46375 F 04/03-14 44 10 2 49 30 NE 5 5 2 1 NE14 5471 N12 55223 F 04/03-15 44 10 2 50 29 NE 5 5 2 1 N13 5650 N13 64071 G 04/03-16 44 10 2 50 29 E 5 5 2 1 N14 5104 N12 53856 F 04/03-17 44 10 2 49 31 E 5 5 2 1 N16 4559 N10 43641 F 04/03-18 32 7 1 47 33 E 5 5 2 1 N20 4013 N 9 33426 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ROCCO SNART FBAN T REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120331.LOWER.02/BOU RJK