FNUS72 KCHS 311054
FWSCHS

SPOT FORECAST FOR FLOWERTOWN FESTIVAL SUPPORT...SUMMERVILLE PD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
654 AM EDT SAT MAR 31 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0730 EDT ON MARCH 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DISTURBANCE IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST THIS MORNING...THEN MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. PATCHY LIGHT SHOWERS ARE ALREADY DEVELOPING ACROSS THE
AREA AHEAD OF THIS DISTURBANCE AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF
THE MORNING. THEN...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
MORE NUMEROUS IN COVERAGE AFTER 11 AM AND CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
SUMMERVILLE AREA THROUGH 5 PM BEFORE TAPERING OFF. THE PROBABILITY OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS 70 PERCENT TODAY.

LIGHTNING COULD POSE A THREAT TO THOSE ATTENDING THE FESTIVAL...
ESPECIALLY LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A VERY
LOW PROBABILITY /LESS THAN 10 PERCENT/ OF WIND GUSTS IN THUNDERSTORMS
EXCEEDING 40 MPH...WHICH COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO KNOCK DOWN UNSECURED
LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS SUCH AS TENTS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY
                    AFTER 11 AM. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 10 TO
                    MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY COVER...........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS SCTTRD
TEMP................65     67     72     74     75     75
RH..................90     84     73     66     64     64
SURFACE WIND........SW 6   SW 8   SW 10  SW 12  W 13   W 14
SURFACE WND GST.....8      10     15     16     17     20

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
SURFACE WINDS.......NORTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...QUAGLIARIELLO
REQUESTED BY...LT  BOB BURRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20120331.FLOWE.01/CHS