FNUS73 KILX 010320 FWSILX SPOT FORECAST FOR KING1...SECOR FPD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN, IL 1020 PM CDT SAT MAR 31 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX COULD LINGER INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...BUT SHOULD PUSH EAST AFTER SUNRISE. IN THE WAKE OF THIS WEATHER SYSTEM...SOUTHEAST WINDS SHOULD TURN SOUTHERLY...THEN SOUTHWEST BY LATE MORNING. A WARM FRONT WILL SET UP NEAR THE BURN AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE FRONT...AND EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS NORTH OF THE FRONT...AND NEARLY CALM WINDS IN THE FRONTAL ZONE. THE CURRENT FORECAST PLACES THE FRONT JUST NORTH OF THE BURN AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BUT LATER FORECASTS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED AS OVERNIGHT CONVECTION COULD MODIFY THE ENVIRONMENT. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-500 FT AGL 9 AM INCREASING TO 3600-4500 FT AGL AT NOON...THEN INCREASING TO 5200-5800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2000-3800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (919-30819 MPH-FT) AT IGNITION TIME INCREASING TO GOOD (50944-99359 MPH-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).............49 36 27 24 21 18 18 19 19 21 24 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................61 69 76 80 80 78 73 70 68 66 64 RH..................79 65 56 51 52 56 66 70 73 76 80 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 7 SW 8 SW 6 SW 5 SW 4 S 5 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 10 10 5 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 5 SW 5 SW 6 SW 5 SW 4 SW 3 S 4 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 EYE LEVEL GUST......10 10 15 10 10 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........100 1900 4900 5800 3800 500 100 200 200 200 100 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 13 SW 16 W 17 W 17 SW 14 SW 7 SE 6 E 7 E 9 E 9 E 9 CWR.................30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.................M M M M M M M M M M M HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...1 31 86 99 51 4 0 1 2 2 1 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1035-41515 MPH-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR TO GOOD (59454-97864 MPH-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............25 27 31 35 36 34 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................64 65 72 79 83 86 RH..................82 80 65 56 50 49 20 FT WIND..........SE 5 SE 6 SE 7 S 8 S 9 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......SE 4 SE 4 SE 5 S 6 S 7 S 7 EYE LEVEL GUST......10 10 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........100 400 1200 2700 4400 5000 TRANSPORT WIND......E 9 SE 10 SE 12 SE 15 S 18 S 20 CWR.................10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.................M M M M M M HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 4 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...1 4 14 42 81 98 $$ FORECASTER...SCHAFFER REQUESTED BY...DAVID CASHION TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120331.KING1.01/ILX