FNUS72 KTAE 311013
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 229...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
613 AM EDT SAT MAR 31 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

...AN AREA OF RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS PUSHING FROM WEST TO EAST
THROUGH THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT 6 AM EDT IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE AT THE
BURN SITE LATER THIS MORNING...

.DISCUSSION...NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THIS WEEKEND WITH INCREASING
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. ON MONDAY...AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
ARE FORECAST TO DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH FLORIDA.
WINDS AND DISPERSIONS WILL BE LOW ON MONDAY BUT WE WILL HAVE TO WAIT
TO SEE WHAT THE ERC VALUES WILL BE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 82.
RH..................92 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3 UNTIL 1700...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION..........42.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........80     78     78     76     63
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTM   TSTM   TSTM   TSTM   RNSHWR
TEMP............67     72     77     81     81
RH..............92     77     64     54     50
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 6    W 7    W 7    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION..........5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........63     50     50     47     43     43
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TEMP............80     76     70     67     66     64
RH..............54     64     77     86     90     93
20 FT WIND......W 6    SW 6   W 5    W 5    W 4    W 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     10

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 88.
RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION..........53.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........46     48     48     45     42     42
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............62     61     71     79     84     88
RH..............98     100    77     59     47     40
20 FT WIND......W 2    W 2    W 3    W 4    W 5    SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     15     15

$$
FORECASTER...TIM BARRY
REQUESTED BY...BOB AIRHART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120331.BURNU.01/TAE