FNUS73 KAPX 021810 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR PERRY CR 3...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 210 PM EDT MON APR 2 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EDT ON APRIL 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AND EXTREMELY DRY AIR HAS NOSED DOWN INTO NORTHERN MICHIGAN. EVEN RELATIVELY SHALLOW MIXING WILL ALLOW FOR STRONG DRYING OF THE SURFACE AIR MASS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WAS REFLECTED IN THE UPDATED ROUTINE FIRE WEATHER FORECAST. EVEN WITH TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW CRITICAL VALUES...THE PRESENCE OF SOME GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS AT TIMES...AND THESE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES...THE FIRE DANGER WILL BE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED THIS AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL NOT BE ALL THAT FANTASTIC TONIGHT...BUT THE APPROACH OF A FRONT WILL BRING INCREASED CLOUDINESS AND SOME RAIN FOR TOMORROW MORNING. THIS WILL KEEP HUMIDITIES ON THE HIGH SIDE TOMORROW. THE FRONT ITSELF WILL CROSS LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL SHIFT TO OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND BECOME SOMEWHAT GUSTY AGAIN. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 55. RH..................30 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (300) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (300). TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........15 14 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............54 53 RH..............30 31 20 FT WIND DIR..E E 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 SMOKE DISP......300 300 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR EARLY...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 29. RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........17 23 26 31 41 46 51 61 66 69 76 79 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............52 50 46 42 39 37 36 35 35 34 33 32 RH..............32 34 42 48 57 61 64 66 64 69 72 78 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 6 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 10 5 5 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52. RH..................MIN 48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........81 85 85 89 100 100 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............31 33 40 47 50 52 RH..............78 69 64 56 50 48 20 FT WIND......SE 3 S 4 S 5 S 6 S 6 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 15 15 10 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. LIGHT WINDS. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. $$ FORECASTER...SCOTT DICKSON REQUESTED BY...JOHN ELLIOTT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120402.PERRY.01/APX