FNUS71 KBGM 021449 FWSBGM SPOT FORECAST FOR CICERO...NYS DEC FOREST RANGERS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON, NY 1049 AM EDT MON APR 2 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY TODAY...WHICH WILL HELP TO BEGIN TO DRY OUT FUELS. NORTH TO NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO EARLY AFTERNOON TO BE 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. FINE FUELS WILL DRY QUICKLY TODAY. LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS EXPECTED TUESDAY...YET ALSO WITH SIGNIFICANTLY LIGHTER WINDS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH BY 2 PM. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5500-5800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 22 TO 30 MPH. DEWPOINT............29...DECREASING TO 23 IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE. SURFACE WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............1 0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................43 46 47 DEWPOINT............28 23 22 RH..................55 40 37 20 FT WIND..........N 10 NW 10 NW 13 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 25 30 EYE LEVEL WIND......N 7 NW 8 NW 10 EYE LVL WND GST.....20 25 30 SURFACE WIND........N 12 NW 13 NW 16 SURFACE WND GST.....20 25 30 MIX HGT (FT)........5000 5500 5500 TRANSPORT WIND......N 24 NW 24 NW 24 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 HAINES INDEX........3 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28. MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 30 MPH. DEWPOINT............21...DECREASING TO 17 EARLY IN THE EVENING. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SURFACE WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............0 0 2 1 0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................47 43 37 34 31 30 DEWPOINT............21 16 18 19 18 18 RH..................35 33 46 54 58 60 20 FT WIND..........NW 11 NW 6 N 4 N 3 NW 3 NW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 15 10 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......NW 8 NW 5 N 3 N 2 NW 2 NW 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....25 15 10 5 5 5 SURFACE WIND........NW 14 NW 8 N 5 N 4 NW 4 NW 4 SURFACE WND GST.....25 15 10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........5800 1200 1200 900 400 400 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 30 NW 29 NW 29 N 22 N 21 N 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-3900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH. DEWPOINT............17. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. SURFACE WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............1 3 11 22 31 47 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................28 29 38 46 51 53 DEWPOINT............18 19 17 16 17 18 RH..................66 66 42 29 26 25 20 FT WIND..........NW 3 NW 4 NW 5 NW 5 NW 6 NW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 10 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......NW 2 NW 3 NW 4 NW 4 NW 4 NW 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 10 10 10 15 15 SURFACE WIND........NW 4 NW 5 NW 6 NW 6 NW 7 NW 7 SURFACE WND GST.....5 10 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........300 2500 2500 3500 3900 3900 TRANSPORT WIND......N 21 N 18 N 18 NW 14 NW 13 NW 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...BRADY/CHAMPNEY REQUESTED BY...SCOTT JACKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120402.CICER.02/BGM