FNUS75 KBOU 022259 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LOWER NORTH FORK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 459 PM MDT MON APR 2 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A COOL...MOIST AIRMASS IS NOW IN PLACE OVER THE BURN AREA. RADAR IS INDICATING LIGHT PRECIPITATION FALLING AT THE CURRENT TIME. AN UPPER LEVEL STORM WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF CENTRAL NEW MEXICO AND INTO THE CORNER OF SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO FROM LATER TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY EVENING. THIS WILL KEEP SOME CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION GOING OVER THE BURN AREA INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. BY WEDNESDAY...CONTINUING ON THURSDAY...UPPER RIDGING WILL COVER COLORADO ALONG WITH A DRY AIR MASS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34. MAX HUMIDITY........90-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20-35 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY...SOME RAIN MIXED IN DURING THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41. MIN HUMIDITY........50-65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 21-32 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTH 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400 WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32. MAX HUMIDITY........80-90%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL UNTIL 2400. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-59. MIN HUMIDITY........20-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 4800-5400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39. MAX HUMIDITY........45-55%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2400. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1300...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-64. MIN HUMIDITY........13-21%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 5-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 5500-6500 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND.... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LOWER NORTH FORK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 04/02-16 99 71 54 43 61 N17 25 2 1 SE29 4467 N30 114690 V 04/02-17 99 71 54 43 64 N17 25 2 1 SE28 4558 N31 122598 V 04/02-18 99 59 36 43 65 N16 24 2 1 SE25 4648 N32 130507 V 04/02-19 99 59 36 41 68 N15 23 2 1 SE24 4404 N32 121490 V 04/02-20 99 59 36 38 73 N15 22 2 1 SE23 4161 N31 112474 V 04/02-21 99 59 36 37 75 N14 21 2 1 SE23 3917 N30 103457 V 04/02-22 99 59 36 35 79 N14 21 2 1 E26 3892 N32 108055 V 04/02-23 99 59 36 34 83 N14 21 2 1 E30 3867 N33 112653 V 04/03-00 100 82 71 34 86 N14 21 2 1 E35 3842 N36 117251 V 04/03-01 100 82 71 33 87 N14 21 2 1 E36 3783 N35 113867 V 04/03-02 100 82 71 32 88 N14 21 2 1 E37 3723 N35 110483 V 04/03-03 100 82 71 32 86 N14 21 2 1 E37 3664 N33 107099 V 04/03-04 100 82 71 31 86 N14 21 2 1 E39 3715 N33 107408 V 04/03-05 100 82 71 31 85 N14 21 2 1 E40 3767 N33 107717 V 04/03-06 91 76 62 31 85 N14 21 2 1 E41 3818 N32 108027 V 04/03-07 91 76 62 31 84 N13 20 2 1 E39 3863 NE30 101410 V 04/03-08 91 76 62 31 82 N13 18 2 1 E37 3909 NE28 94794 G 04/03-09 91 76 62 32 75 N12 17 2 1 E35 3954 NE25 88177 G 04/03-10 91 76 62 35 67 N12 17 2 1 E36 3931 NE22 75954 G 04/03-11 91 76 62 38 58 N12 16 2 1 E37 3908 NE18 63730 G 04/03-12 90 49 25 39 54 N10 16 2 1 E37 3885 NE15 51507 F 04/03-13 90 49 25 39 51 N 9 9 2 1 E35 3950 NE12 41093 F 04/03-14 90 49 25 40 47 N 7 7 2 1 E31 4016 N 9 30679 P 04/03-15 90 49 25 40 44 N 6 6 2 1 E26 4081 N 6 20265 P 04/03-16 90 49 25 40 42 N 5 5 2 1 E23 3830 N 8 25047 P 04/03-17 90 49 25 40 41 NE 5 5 2 1 NE21 3579 N10 29829 P 04/03-18 83 24 5 38 45 NE 3 3 2 1 NE21 3329 N12 34612 P 04/03-19 83 24 5 37 49 NE 2 2 2 1 NE24 3023 N13 33593 P 04/03-20 83 24 5 35 54 NE 2 2 2 1 NE30 2717 N14 32575 P 04/03-21 83 24 5 33 62 CALM 1 2 1 N38 2411 N15 31557 P 04/03-22 83 24 5 32 66 NE 2 2 2 1 NE40 2062 N15 26956 P 04/03-23 83 24 5 31 67 N 2 2 2 1 NE40 1713 N15 22356 P 04/04-00 41 10 2 31 66 N 3 3 2 1 NE39 1364 N15 17755 P 04/04-01 41 10 2 30 63 N 2 2 2 1 NE36 1112 N13 13437 P 04/04-02 41 10 2 29 59 NW 2 2 2 1 NE31 860 N12 9118 P 04/04-03 41 10 2 29 56 CALM 1 2 1 NE28 607 N 9 4800 P 04/04-04 41 10 2 29 57 W 2 2 2 1 NE25 498 N 7 3474 P 04/04-05 41 10 2 29 59 W 2 2 2 1 NE24 388 NW 6 2148 P 04/04-06 23 3 1 29 61 SW 3 3 2 1 N24 279 NW 3 822 P 04/04-07 23 3 1 30 63 SW 2 2 2 1 N23 577 NW 5 3284 P 04/04-08 23 3 1 33 57 SW 2 2 2 1 N23 874 NW 7 5746 P 04/04-09 23 3 1 37 51 CALM 1 2 1 N23 1172 NW 8 8208 P 04/04-10 23 3 1 42 45 CALM 1 2 1 N22 2409 N10 24562 P 04/04-11 23 3 1 45 41 SE 2 2 2 1 N20 3646 N12 40916 F 04/04-12 23 3 1 48 37 SE 2 2 2 1 N20 4883 N14 57271 F 04/04-13 23 3 1 51 35 SE 2 2 2 1 NW21 5080 NW13 55012 F 04/04-14 23 3 1 53 32 SE 3 3 2 1 NW22 5277 NW12 52753 F 04/04-15 23 3 1 54 31 SE 3 3 2 1 NW24 5473 NW10 50494 F 04/04-16 23 3 1 54 31 SE 3 3 2 1 NW25 5089 NW 9 41823 F 04/04-17 23 3 1 53 31 SE 3 3 2 1 NW26 4705 W 8 33151 P 04/04-18 23 4 1 51 32 E 3 3 2 1 NW28 4321 W 7 24480 P 04/04-19 23 4 1 49 34 SE 3 3 2 1 NW28 2988 W 6 16637 P 04/04-20 23 4 1 47 37 S 5 5 2 1 NW26 1655 SW 5 8794 P 04/04-21 23 4 1 44 42 S 5 5 2 1 NW25 322 SW 3 951 P 04/04-22 23 4 1 42 45 S 6 6 2 1 NW24 272 SW 5 991 P 04/04-23 23 4 1 40 48 SW 6 6 2 1 NW23 222 SW 6 1031 P 04/05-00 17 4 1 40 50 SW 7 7 2 1 NW21 172 SW 7 1072 P 04/05-01 17 4 1 39 52 SW 8 13 2 1 NW18 164 SW 8 1110 P 04/05-02 17 4 1 38 54 SW 8 14 2 1 W16 155 SW 8 1149 P 04/05-03 17 4 1 37 55 SW 9 15 2 1 W15 147 SW 9 1188 P 04/05-04 17 4 1 37 56 SW 9 16 2 1 W13 151 SW 9 1251 P 04/05-05 17 4 1 37 56 SW10 16 2 1 W10 155 SW 9 1314 P 04/05-06 19 4 1 38 55 SW10 16 2 1 W 9 158 SW10 1377 P 04/05-07 19 4 1 38 55 SW10 17 2 1 W 8 243 SW10 2071 P 04/05-08 19 4 1 42 48 SW10 17 2 1 SW 9 328 SW 9 2766 P 04/05-09 19 4 1 47 40 SW10 16 2 1 SW12 413 SW 9 3460 P 04/05-10 19 4 1 52 33 SW10 16 2 1 SW16 2470 SW14 41766 F 04/05-11 19 4 1 57 28 S 9 15 2 1 W23 4528 SW17 80072 G 04/05-12 38 4 1 60 25 S 9 15 2 1 W30 6585 SW21 118378 V 04/05-13 38 4 1 63 22 S 9 15 2 1 W35 7874 SW23 159947 E 04/05-14 38 4 1 65 19 S10 16 2 1 W39 9164 SW24 201517 E 04/05-15 38 4 1 66 18 S10 16 2 1 W43 10454 SW26 243086 E 04/05-16 38 4 1 66 18 S10 17 2 1 W46 9093 SW28 217177 E 04/05-17 38 4 1 64 18 S12 18 2 1 SW49 7732 SW29 191267 E 04/05-18 33 4 1 61 20 S12 18 2 1 SW52 6371 SW30 165357 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ROCCO SNART FBAN T REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120402.LOWER.01/BOU RJK