FNUS73 KDMX 021537 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR BAYS BRANCH...IDNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 1037 AM CDT MON APR 2 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED... PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN DRY INTO THE EVENING WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........72 AT IGNITION...MAX 85. RH..................64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (20000-54100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (69600 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 18 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........25 22 21 22 24 26 28 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............72 76 79 81 82 83 83 81 RH..............64 60 56 53 51 49 47 51 20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..18 18 18 18 17 16 14 13 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 20 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.13 13 13 13 12 11 10 9 EYE LVL WND GST.25 25 25 25 25 25 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 3.1 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 2.7 1.5 MIXNG WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S S MIXNG WIND SPD..21 21 20 20 20 21 22 23 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53. RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 10 PM 1 AM 4 AM TEMP............79 68 63 59 RH..............52 65 65 72 20 FT WIND......S 10G15 S 9G10 W 9G10 W 8G10 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 7G15 S 6G10 W 6G10 W 6G10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...COGIL REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL STRAUSER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120402.BAYSB.01/DMX