FNUS73 KDMX 021411
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HILKER FARM...HARDIN COUNTY CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
911 AM CDT MON APR 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 CDT ON APRIL 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY INTO THE EVENING WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST
SURFACE WINDS.  A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT WITH
WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 76.
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 53 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 17 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 28 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THIS MORNING BECOMING EXCELLENT
                    THIS AFTERNOON (4500-67600 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 18 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20
                    MPH.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........40  39  40  41  42  43  44
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............68  70  72  74  75  74  73
RH..............57  57  55  53  55  59  66
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
20 FT WIND SPD..18  18  18  20  18  17  15
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  25  25  25  25  20
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
EYE LVL WND SPD.13  13  13  14  13  12  11
EYE LVL WND GST.25  25  25  25  25  25  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.2 2.2 1.2
MIXNG WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
MIXNG WIND SPD..18  20  21  23  24  26  28
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   3

$$
FORECASTER...COGIL
REQUESTED BY...ROB ALLEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120402.HILKE.01/DMX