FNUS73 KDVN 021250
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAES...IOWA DNR/USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
750 AM CDT MON APR 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS WILL
LIFT NORTH INTO SOUTHEAST IOWA THIS AFTERNOON. NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY...
DEEP LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF HAZE AND BRISK
EAST WINDS FROM 15 TO 25 MPH THAT WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MORE SOUTHEASTERLY
THIS AFTERNOON. LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO
LIGHT AND VARIABLE AS A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSES THROUGH FROM THE WEST.
THIS MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT...WITH BETTER CHANCES
ON TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 76.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 TO 3500 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............55     63     71     75     76
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 11  SE 11  SE 11  SE 12  SE 11
EYE LVL WND GST.15     15     15    20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1800   2100   2400   3000   3600
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 22  SE 21  SE 21  SE 21  S 21
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-600 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 8
                    TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.
RH..................MIN 48 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOMING NORTH MID AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...SHEETS
REQUESTED BY...ERIK ACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120402.CAES_.01/DVN