FNUS74 KEPZ 021253
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ORIO...NM-LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
653 AM MDT MON APR 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0610 MDT ON APRIL 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM OVER NW NMEX WILL SLOWLY MOVE TO
NE NMEX BY MIDDAY TUESDAY. COOLER AND BREEZY WX WILL CONTINUE MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WITH A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND EVEN
AN ISOLATED TSTM. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
MORNING. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD EXIT THE AREA BY TUESDAY EVENING.  HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND LIGHTER WINDS EXPECTED. A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW
WILL RETURN ON THURSDAY AND PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEKEND. DRY AND
WARM CONDITIONS WITH BREEZY AFTERNOONS WILL OCCUR FOR THE LATTER
PART OF THE WEEK.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT
                    RISK FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLY MIXED WITH
                    HAIL AND SNOW.
CWR.................10-20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-53.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 15 TO 20 MPH. ISOLD GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11200-13100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 22 KNOTS. VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS.  1" LOW ELV AND
                    2 OR MORE INCHES ABOVE 7000 FEET.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-23.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 13 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000-13000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 16 KNOTS.


.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. ISOLD GUST 25 TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500-9300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 14 KNOTS. VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT.


$$
FORECASTER...NOVLAN
REQUESTED BY...TIM LIVINGSTON
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120402.ORIO_.01/EPZ