FNUS74 KLZK 021226 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR ACHMUN CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 726 AM CDT MON APR 2 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... OVERALL DRY AND CONTINUED VERY WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON TO EVENING...WELL AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM AS IT DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN PLAINS. ANY SHOWER OR STORM THAT DOES DEVELOP COULD CREATE LOCALIZED OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...CAUSING A WIND SHIFT. HOWEVER...FOR MOST LOCATIONS...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE DOMINANT. THIS STORM SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY APPROACH ARKANSAS LATER TONIGHT AND SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND ARKANSAS THROUGH THURSDAY. A FEW ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN...WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST OF ARKANSAS BY FRIDAY. DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR FRIDAY...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS BACK IN THE FORECAST FOR THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........77 AT IGNITION...MAX 87. RH..................61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 22 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6100 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TEMP............77 80 82 84 85 85 85 RH..............61 56 51 49 47 45 46 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 8 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 11 11 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 5 5 4 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 6 6 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 16 17 20 21 22 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 63. RH..................MAX 91 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2900 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....ISO SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 82 79 76 74 73 72 71 69 68 67 66 RH..............48 51 57 62 66 69 72 75 78 81 83 88 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 5 3 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.22 23 23 23 22 21 20 18 17 15 14 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80. RH..................MIN 56 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5200 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............65 65 67 69 71 73 75 77 78 79 79 79 RH..............90 91 86 79 73 68 64 61 59 57 56 57 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 9 10 12 12 13 13 13 12 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 40 40 40 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50 $$ FORECASTER...62 REQUESTED BY...KURT RADCLIFF TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120402.ACHMU.01/LZK