FNUS74 KLZK 021007 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR DENTON CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 507 AM CDT MON APR 2 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... OVERALL DRY AND CONTINUED VERY WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON TO EVENING...WELL AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM AS IT DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN PLAINS. THIS STORM SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY APPROACH ARKANSAS LATER TONIGHT AND SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND ARKANSAS THROUGH THURSDAY. A FEW ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN...WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST OF ARKANSAS BY FRIDAY. DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR FRIDAY...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS BACK IN THE FORECAST FOR THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........77 AT IGNITION...MAX 85. RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6500 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............77 80 82 83 84 84 84 RH..............58 54 51 49 48 47 48 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 12 12 12 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 12 12 12 12 12 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.5 6 7 7 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND GST.5 6 7 7 7 7 7 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.21 22 22 23 23 24 24 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 63. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 16 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....ISO SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............83 81 78 75 73 72 71 70 69 68 67 65 RH..............50 53 59 63 68 70 73 76 79 82 85 90 20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE S S S S S SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 10 9 8 8 6 5 5 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 10 9 8 8 6 5 5 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.S SE SE SE SE S S S S S SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.7 7 6 5 5 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 EYE LVL WND GST.7 7 6 5 5 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.25 25 24 23 22 21 20 18 17 17 16 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78. RH..................MIN 59 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 14 TO 18 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5200 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............65 64 66 68 70 72 74 75 76 77 78 77 RH..............91 93 88 81 76 71 67 64 62 60 59 60 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 16 16 17 18 18 17 16 15 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 40 40 40 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120402.DENTO.01/LZK