FNUS74 KLZK 021228 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR PINEY BLOCK A...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 728 AM CDT MON APR 2 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... OVERALL DRY AND CONTINUED VERY WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON TO EVENING...WELL AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM AS IT DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN PLAINS. ANY SHOWER OR STORM THAT DOES DEVELOP COULD CREATE LOCALIZED OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...CAUSING A WIND SHIFT. HOWEVER...FOR MOST LOCATIONS...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE DOMINANT. THIS STORM SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY APPROACH ARKANSAS LATER TONIGHT AND SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND ARKANSAS THROUGH THURSDAY. A FEW ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN...WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST OF ARKANSAS BY FRIDAY. DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR FRIDAY...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS BACK IN THE FORECAST FOR THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........75 AT IGNITION...MAX 86. RH..................61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 23 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6100 FT MSL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............75 78 82 83 84 85 84 RH..............61 55 49 47 44 43 44 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 9 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.7 11 11 11 11 11 11 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.4 6 6 6 6 6 6 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 20 20 20 20 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 62. RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3400 FT MSL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............83 81 78 75 73 72 71 70 68 67 66 65 RH..............45 49 54 59 63 66 68 72 75 78 80 85 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 7 6 5 3 2 3 3 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 7 7 7 7 4 4 3 3 2 2 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.5 4 4 4 4 3 2 1 2 2 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 4 4 4 4 2 2 2 2 1 1 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 20 20 20 21 20 20 18 16 14 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79. RH..................MIN 54 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 17 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5200 FT MSL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............64 64 65 68 70 72 74 76 77 78 78 78 RH..............87 88 83 77 71 66 62 58 57 55 54 55 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 5 7 8 9 12 12 12 12 8 20 FT WIND GUST.2 3 4 5 7 8 9 12 12 12 12 8 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.1 2 2 3 4 5 5 7 7 7 7 5 EYE LVL WND GST.1 2 2 3 4 5 5 7 7 7 7 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 10 13 14 16 17 17 16 15 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 $$ FORECASTER...62 REQUESTED BY...MARK MORALES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120402.PINEY.02/LZK