FNUS73 KPAH 021307 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CRAB ORCHARD CAMPGROUND PILES...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 807 AM CDT MON APR 2 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... TODAY WILL BE ANOTHER UNUSUALLY WARM DAY FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...WITH MODERATE HUMIDITY AND INCREASINGLY DRY FUELS. THE WEATHER PICTURE WILL CHANGE STARTING TUESDAY WHEN AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL COMBINE WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO DEVELOP SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WETTER PICTURE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WELL INTO THE WEEK AS A SURFACE LOW AND PARENT UPPER LOW MOVE THROUGH THE HEARTLAND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........74 AT IGNITION...MAX 86. RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1200-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-3900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............74 77 79 82 83 85 86 85 83 RH..............67 63 57 54 47 43 41 42 46 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 9 9 9 9 10 10 12 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 62. RH..................MAX 91 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-1500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............81 74 71 68 65 64 RH..............52 63 71 77 85 90 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 5 S 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3800 3200 2300 1500 1000 900 TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 SW 15 SW 16 SW 17 SW 17 SW 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 82. RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 36 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............63 72 78 82 RH..............87 62 49 46 20 FT WIND......W 4G5 W 5 W 4G5 NW 4G5 MIX HGT (FT)....1400 3800 6000 6000 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15 SW 14 SW 13 SW 14 CWR.............0 0 30 40 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...BLANCHARD REQUESTED BY...ERIC PFEILSCHIFTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120402.CRABO.01/PAH