FNUS75 KBOU 031922 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR VILS RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 121 PM MDT TUE APR 3 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...CLOUD COVER AND EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS A STORM SYSTEM OVER SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO PUSHES MOISTURE WEST IN EASTERLY FLOW ALOFT. NOT EXPECTING ANY PRECIPITATION TO MAKE IT OVER THE DIVIDE AND OVER THE BURN AREA FOR THE REST OF TODAY. THE STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST TONIGHT WITH AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDING IN FOR WEDNESDAY BRINGING WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. EXPECT TEMPERATURES ALMOST 10 DEGREES WARMER AND HUMIDITIES WILL BE ABOUT 10 TO 15 PERCENT LOWER. WEST WINDS WILL BE INCREASING SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. WILL HAVE BETTER MIXING WEDNESDAY AND EVEN BETTER ON THURSDAY AS FLOW TURNS SOUTHWEST ALOFT AS AN UPPER TROUGH DIGS INTO THE WESTERN STATES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....50. MIN HUMIDITY........35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1400. POOR AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....28. MAX HUMIDITY........73%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5-13 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTH AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....59. MIN HUMIDITY........21%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8800-9800 FT AGL AFTER 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR VILSRX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 04/03-13 67 8 2 49 40 E10 16 2 1 E21 4680 E17 67234 G 04/03-14 67 8 2 49 40 NE 8 13 3 1 E20 4995 E13 53627 F 04/03-15 67 8 2 48 41 NE 7 7 3 1 E18 5311 SE 9 40019 F 04/03-16 67 8 2 47 40 NE 8 8 3 1 E16 5109 E 8 36980 P 04/03-17 67 8 2 44 42 NE 8 14 2 1 E13 4906 E 8 33941 P 04/03-18 53 6 1 43 44 NE 9 15 2 1 E12 4703 NE 8 30901 P 04/03-19 53 6 1 42 44 NE 8 13 2 1 E12 3610 NE 7 22946 P 04/03-20 53 6 1 39 49 NE 7 7 3 1 E13 2518 NE 6 14992 P 04/03-21 53 6 1 36 56 NE 5 5 3 1 E14 1425 E 6 7037 P 04/03-22 53 6 1 34 61 NE 3 3 3 1 E14 1194 E 5 5212 P 04/03-23 53 6 1 33 65 E 2 2 2 1 E14 962 E 3 3387 P 04/04-00 25 3 1 32 67 SE 2 2 2 1 NE13 730 SE 2 1563 P 04/04-01 25 3 1 31 70 SE 2 2 2 1 E12 665 SE 2 1425 P 04/04-02 25 3 1 30 72 S 2 2 2 1 E10 601 S 2 1287 P 04/04-03 25 3 1 30 73 S 2 2 2 1 E 9 536 S 2 1149 P 04/04-04 25 3 1 29 72 S 2 2 2 1 NE 7 533 S 3 1412 P 04/04-05 25 3 1 29 70 S 3 3 2 1 NE 5 530 S 3 1675 P 04/04-06 15 3 1 30 67 S 3 3 2 1 NE 3 528 S 5 1938 P 04/04-07 15 3 1 31 61 S 3 3 2 1 N 3 1137 S 5 5125 P 04/04-08 15 3 1 34 51 S 5 5 3 1 NW 5 1746 SW 5 8312 P 04/04-09 15 3 1 38 41 SW 5 5 3 1 W 6 2356 SW 6 11500 P 04/04-10 15 3 1 43 34 SW 6 6 3 1 W 8 3577 SW 7 25003 P 04/04-11 15 3 1 47 30 SW 8 8 3 1 W10 4798 SW 8 38507 P 04/04-12 21 3 1 51 27 SW 9 15 3 1 W14 6019 SW10 52011 F 04/04-13 21 3 1 53 25 SW10 17 3 1 W15 7383 W13 83166 G 04/04-14 21 3 1 55 23 W12 20 4 1 W17 8748 W14 114321 V 04/04-15 21 3 1 58 21 W13 21 4 1 W20 10112 W16 145476 V 04/04-16 21 3 1 56 21 W13 21 4 1 W21 9387 W17 138604 V 04/04-17 21 3 1 55 21 W13 20 3 1 W23 8662 W17 131733 V 04/04-18 28 4 1 53 23 W12 18 3 1 W24 7937 W18 124861 V 04/04-19 28 4 1 51 24 W 9 15 3 1 W25 6542 W17 99609 G 04/04-20 28 4 1 48 28 SW 7 7 3 1 W25 5147 W16 74357 G 04/04-21 28 4 1 45 33 SW 6 6 3 1 W25 3753 W15 49105 F 04/04-22 28 4 1 42 38 S 5 5 3 1 W24 2668 SW13 33894 P 04/04-23 28 4 1 41 41 S 6 6 4 1 W23 1583 SW10 18683 P 04/05-00 17 0 0 40 44 S 6 6 4 1 W22 497 S 8 3472 P 04/05-01 17 0 0 38 46 S 7 7 4 1 W22 483 S 9 3846 P 04/05-02 17 0 0 38 48 S 7 7 3 1 W21 468 S10 4221 P 04/05-03 17 0 0 37 48 S 8 13 3 1 W21 453 S12 4596 P 04/05-04 17 0 0 37 49 S 9 14 3 1 SW21 502 S13 5798 P 04/05-05 17 0 0 37 48 S 9 15 3 1 SW21 551 S15 7000 P 04/05-06 18 0 0 37 46 S10 16 3 1 SW22 600 S16 8202 P 04/05-07 18 0 0 38 44 S10 17 3 1 SW26 2156 S17 37993 P 04/05-08 18 0 0 41 40 S10 17 4 1 SW31 3712 SW20 67783 G 04/05-09 18 0 0 45 34 S12 18 4 1 SW37 5268 SW22 97573 G 04/05-10 18 0 0 49 28 S14 22 4 1 SW40 7297 SW25 169991 E 04/05-11 18 0 0 53 24 S15 24 4 1 SW44 9326 SW29 242409 E 04/05-12 35 0 0 56 21 SW17 28 4 1 SW46 11355 SW32 314827 E 04/05-13 35 0 0 59 18 SW18 29 4 1 SW49 12749 SW32 362686 E 04/05-14 35 0 0 61 16 SW18 30 3 1 SW52 14142 SW33 410545 E 04/05-15 35 0 0 62 15 SW18 30 3 1 SW52 15536 SW35 458404 E 04/05-16 35 0 0 62 14 SW18 29 3 1 SW51 14889 SW33 435019 E 04/05-17 35 0 0 60 14 SW18 29 3 1 SW47 14242 SW33 411633 E 04/05-18 37 5 1 57 15 SW17 28 3 1 SW46 13595 SW33 388247 E 04/05-19 37 5 1 55 17 S16 25 3 1 SW45 10877 SW35 315869 E 04/05-20 37 5 1 52 20 S15 23 3 1 SW45 8159 SW35 243490 E 04/05-21 37 5 1 47 25 S14 22 3 1 SW46 5441 SW36 171112 E 04/05-22 37 5 1 45 30 S15 23 3 1 SW49 4052 SW33 124350 V 04/05-23 37 5 1 43 34 S15 25 3 1 SW53 2662 S31 77587 G 04/06-00 29 4 1 41 37 S16 25 3 1 SW58 1273 S28 30825 P 04/06-01 29 4 1 40 40 S15 24 3 1 SW61 1369 S26 31809 P 04/06-02 29 4 1 39 41 S14 22 2 1 SW66 1465 SW25 32793 P 04/06-03 29 4 1 38 41 S13 21 2 1 SW69 1561 SW25 33777 P 04/06-04 29 4 1 38 41 S13 20 2 1 SW75 2822 SW30 84709 G 04/06-05 29 4 1 38 39 S13 21 2 1 SW81 4082 SW35 135641 V 04/06-06 32 8 2 38 37 S14 22 2 1 SW86 5342 SW40 186573 E 04/06-07 32 8 2 38 34 SW15 24 1 04/06-08 32 8 2 40 31 SW17 26 1 04/06-09 32 8 2 42 26 SW18 30 1 04/06-10 32 8 2 45 22 SW20 32 1 04/06-11 32 8 2 47 19 SW21 33 1 04/06-12 49 10 2 49 17 SW22 35 1 04/06-13 49 10 2 51 15 SW22 36 1 04/06-14 49 10 2 52 14 SW22 36 1 04/06-15 49 10 2 52 14 W22 35 1 04/06-16 49 10 2 52 14 W22 35 1 04/06-17 49 10 2 50 14 W21 33 1 04/06-18 43 9 2 47 16 W20 31 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JENNA BECKERMAN REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120403.VILSR.01/BOU