FNUS73 KJKL 031056 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR LEWIS HOLLOW A...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 656 AM EDT TUE APR 3 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY...PARTICULARLY DURING THE PEAK HEATING OF THE DAY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE DRAMATICALLY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON...AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION. MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RUN BETWEEN 41 AND 51 PERCENT TODAY...AND 52 AND 65 PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....66 AT IGNITION...MAX 78. MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. POP.................30 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....30. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........49 48 52 54 55 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............66 71 75 77 76 RH..............75 66 57 52 53 20 FT WIND......S 3 SW 6 W 6 W 7 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 58. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 91 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT. SURROUNDING RIDGE...WEST AROUND 5 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH. POP.................70 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........54 49 50 59 60 65 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............72 68 65 63 61 59 RH..............61 70 75 79 87 90 20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 3 SW 3 SW 3 W 3 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 71. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. POP.................70 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1800...THEN 2. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 22 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....95. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........82 87 89 90 84 82 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............59 63 67 69 70 69 RH..............84 74 65 59 56 58 20 FT WIND......S 5 SW 8 W 9 W 10 NW 9 NW 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 15 15 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...RICHEY REQUESTED BY...BURN BOSS SHANE STURGILL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120403.LEWIS.01/JKL