FNUS71 KPBZ 031334
FWSPBZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR GODDARD BURNS...BUREAU OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
934 AM EDT TUE APR 3 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES TOWARD THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN
BUILD ON WEDNESDAY AND PROVIDE DRY BUT COOL WEATHER UNTIL THE
WEEKEND.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........48 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
RH..................33 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 4 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
                    WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1900-2700
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).............32     43     51     59     62     62
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................48     56     61     64     63     61
RH..................33     27     24     22     26     34
20 FT WIND..........SE 3   S 5    S 5    SW 5   SW 5   SW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     15     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)........1900   2100   2400   2600   2800   2800
TRANSPORT WIND......SE 3   S 6    S 8    SW 9   SW 12  W 13
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0      0      0      10     10     10
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX........4      4      5      5      4      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    EVENING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 2100...THEN 2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    0500...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 16 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 54.
RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400-3600 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...11
REQUESTED BY...JAKE SCHEIB
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120403.GODDA.01/PBZ