FNUS71 KCTP 042351 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR GROVE RUN...BOF, FD#13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 751 PM EDT WED APR 4 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2000 EDT ON APRIL 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THURSDAY...LEADING TO CONTINUED DRY WEATHER WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 30 PERCENT. WINDS FROM THE NORTH NORTHWEST WILL FRESHEN TO AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...WITH SOME GUSTS BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH POSSIBLE. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28. MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 2400-2600 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17 TO 24 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............13 23 24 28 30 32 30 28 27 26 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................50 44 42 40 39 39 38 37 35 33 RH..................30 34 39 45 48 52 56 60 64 68 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD......15 14 12 9 7 6 5 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 20 15 15 10 10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......4.7 4.2 3.5 2.9 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW N N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.....24 24 23 23 22 22 21 20 18 17 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900-6600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............26 27 27 24 17 14 18 26 36 40 38 35 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................31 30 33 36 39 43 45 47 48 50 51 49 RH..................73 78 70 60 51 43 39 36 33 30 28 30 20 FT WIND DIR......NW N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......3 5 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.7 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.7 4.2 4.9 5.7 6.3 6.6 6.6 6.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.....N N N N N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.....16 16 15 15 15 15 14 13 12 12 12 13 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...LAMBERT REQUESTED BY...JEANNE WAMBAUGH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120404.GROVE.01/CTP