FNUS71 KCTP 050102 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR SINNEMAHONING PA...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 902 PM EDT WED APR 4 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2053 EDT ON APRIL 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT...TO 10 MPH OR LESS BY MIDNIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THURSDAY...LEADING TO CONTINUED DRY WEATHER WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 30 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS FROM THE NORTH NORTHWEST IN THE EARLY MORNING WILL FRESHEN TO AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...WITH SOME GUSTS BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH POSSIBLE. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30. MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17 TO 24 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............22 23 28 30 32 30 29 27 26 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................47 45 42 41 41 40 38 36 35 RH..................36 41 46 48 51 53 57 61 65 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD......14 12 9 7 6 5 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 15 10 10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......4.2 3.5 2.9 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.....N N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.....24 24 23 23 22 21 20 18 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900-6600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............26 26 27 24 18 15 19 28 36 40 39 36 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................33 31 35 37 41 44 46 48 50 51 53 50 RH..................70 75 67 58 50 42 38 35 32 30 27 29 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.7 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.7 4.1 4.9 5.7 6.3 6.6 6.6 6.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.....N N N N N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.....16 16 16 15 15 15 14 13 12 12 12 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26. MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-6200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 2500-4200 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 22 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............32 29 27 23 13 7 5 2 0 1 4 3 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................47 44 42 40 39 38 37 35 34 33 31 30 RH..................33 37 41 44 47 50 52 54 57 61 64 69 20 FT WIND DIR......N N N N N N N N N N N NW 20 FT WIND SPD......10 12 12 10 8 7 5 3 3 3 3 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......6.2 5.7 5.1 4.2 3.2 2.5 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.....N N N N N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.....14 14 15 16 17 18 21 22 22 22 21 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING. TRANSPORT WINDS..... HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............7 4 4 4 4 4 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................29 32 40 47 51 55 RH..................73 66 46 34 27 25 20 FT WIND..........NW 3 NW 3 NW 6 NW 9 N 12 N 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........M M M M M M TRANSPORT WIND......M M M M M M CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...LAMBERT REQUESTED BY...DUTY OFFICER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120404.SINNE.01/CTP