FNUS73 KLSX 041159
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MARK TWAIN LAKE...U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
659 AM CDT WED APR 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TO THE AREA
THROUGH THURSDAY...BEFORE DRYING OUT FOR THE LAST PART OF THE WORK WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY RETURN TO MORE SEASONABLE VALUES BY THURSDAY.
WINDS TO PICKUP FROM THE NORTHEAST TO EAST TODAY AS A COLD FRONT SAGS
SOUTHWARD INTO REGION.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM MID MORNING UNTIL
                    LATE AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 0900...THEN 1-8 STRIKES UNTIL
                    1100...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........61 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 54 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WINDS NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE EAST WIND 4 TO 5 MPH
                    USING WIND FACTOR ADJUSTMENT OF 0.4.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 12 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE EAST WIND 10 TO 12 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AT IGNITION...
                    4000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (10699 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...GKS
REQUESTED BY...ALLEN MEHRER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120404.MARKT.01/LSX