FNUS72 KMLB 042254
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR RANCHETTE FIRE...VOLUSIA COUNTY FIRE SERVICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
654 PM EDT WED APR 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1824 EDT ON APRIL 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEST TO SOUTHWEST SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS VOLUSIA COUNTY OVERNIGHT. ISOLATED LATE DAY
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FORMED AND WILL PUSH EAST AROUND 15 MPH. THESE
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE BURN SITE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME LIGHT OR CALM...WHICH
SHOULD MAINTAIN MODERATE TO GOOD DISPERSION RATES AND REDUCE THE
THREAT FOR DENSE FOG FORMATION.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY EARLY MORNING FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE....AROUND 67.
MAX HUMIDITY.......92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....20 PERCENT.
LAL................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT......4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-900 FT AGL EARLY
                   THURSDAY MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS....WEST 10 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...5.
LVORI..............5.

TIME (EDT)         7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%)............PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV........                                PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE.......                                FOG FOG FOG FOG
TEMP...............79  76  75  74  73  72  71  71  70  69  69  69
RH.................47  58  62  66  71  73  79  79  81  87  87  90
20 FT WIND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD.....12  10  9   9   8   7   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST....        10  10  10


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                   CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                   AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY.......53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....30 PERCENT.
LAL................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT......800-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4500 FT AGL
                   LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21
                   MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX...57.
LVORI..............1.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAGAW
REQUESTED BY...JAMES MAUNEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120404.RANCH.01/MLB