FNUS72 KMLB 041154 FWSMLB SPOT FORECAST FOR SPSP 18...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 754 AM EDT WED APR 4 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON APRIL 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON WILL INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT AND INLAND PROPAGATION OF THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE...BUT THE VICINITY OF THE BURN SITE TO THE COAST MAY ALLOW FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AS BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS OCCUR DUE TO THE EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN IN THE LOWER 40 PERCENT RANGE...KEEPING A MODERATE FIRE WEATHER THREAT IN THE FORECAST AS CONDITIONS REMAIN RELATIVELY DRY. DISPERSION INDICES WILL DROP OFF TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET AND MAY COMBINE WITH PATCHY FOG BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING TO LIMIT VISIBILITIES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING BECOMING SOUTH AT 12 TO 16 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....49. LVORI...............0. TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............77 81 83 84 86 86 86 86 86 84 81 79 RH..............76 62 53 51 49 46 48 48 51 58 62 64 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 8 10 12 14 16 17 17 17 17 15 13 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 15 20 25 25 25 25 25 20 15 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-400 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....4. LVORI...............6. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....49. LVORI...............0. $$ FORECASTER...GUSEMAN REQUESTED BY...DYLAN GAVAGNI TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120404.SPSP1.01/MLB