FNUS72 KTAE 041256 FWSTAE SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 229...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 856 AM EDT WED APR 4 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT (850)942-8835. .DISCUSSION...WARM AND SOMEWHAT HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY AHEAD OF A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...BUT A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN IS IN STORE FOR THURSDAY AS THE COLD FRONT GETS CLOSER. THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST FRIDAY AS THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION. FAIR...DRIER...AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...WITH RED FLAG CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........72 AT IGNITION...MAX 85. RH..................74 PCT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................30 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 4700FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSION....82. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCDLY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............72 78 82 84 83 RH..............74 61 52 47 51 20 FT WIND......NW 4 W 6 SW 9 SW 10 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 20 15 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY IN THE EVENING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 66. RH..................MAX 96 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. CWR.................30 PERCENT. LAL.................2. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900 FT AGL IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 11 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSION....6. MAX LVORI...........7. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 73 71 70 69 68 RH..............63 76 84 87 90 93 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 5 SW 3 SW 2 SW 1 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.15 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 84. RH..................MIN 56 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING... 10 TO 15 MPH. CWR.................70 PERCENT. LAL.................4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 19 TO 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSION....55. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLDY CLDY CLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............67 73 78 80 82 80 RH..............96 83 72 63 57 61 20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 7 SW 9 SW 11 SW 11 SW 11 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 20 20 20 $$ FORECASTER KELLY GODSEY REQUESTED BY...BOB AIRHART TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120404.BURNU.01/TAE