FNUS74 KAMA 052049 AAA FWSAMA SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO LAKE RX...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 349 PM CDT THU APR 5 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0935 CDT ON APRIL 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH THIS EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RECOVER QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET AND COULD GET AS HIGH AS 90 PERCENT TONIGHT. TOMORROW A DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE BURN SITE. STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHERE EXACTLY THIS DRYLINE WILL STALL...BUT AT THIS POINT FORECAST THE BURN SITE TO BE ON THE DRY SIDE OF THE DRYLINE. THUS EXPECT SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT TO RESULT IN ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TOMORROW. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...WITH A HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............42 57 67 73 75 RH..............87 57 35 26 24 20 FT WIND......SW 7 S 8 S 5 S 6 SE 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 15 TO 24 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 12 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............74 66 59 55 52 49 RH..............26 34 47 57 66 77 20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 15 E 18 SE 17 SE 15 SE 14 20 FT WIND GUST.15 25 25 25 25 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 3 3 3 5 5 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79. MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11500-12000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 22 TO 29 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............47 47 58 68 75 79 RH..............86 93 69 49 36 26 20 FT WIND......SE 12 SE 14 S 18 S 20 S 20 S 18 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 30 30 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...JOHNSON REQUESTED BY...JEREMIAH PHILLIPS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120405.BUFFA.01/AMA