FNUS75 KBYZ 051252
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY MEDICINE CREEK...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
652 AM MDT THU APR 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON APRIL 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SPRING STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER THE BURN SITE BY THIS
AFTERNOON. EASTERLY...DOWN VALLEY...WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
RETURN TO UP CANYON BY AROUND 9 AM. EXPECT INCREASINGLY CLOUDY
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE DAY...AND INCREASING CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE DAY...WITH BEST POTENTIAL OVERNIGHT AND
FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB TO AROUND 50 TODAY...WITH RH
VALUES FALLING TO AROUND 40 PERCENT. EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO
CHANGE TO SNOW LATE THIS EVENING...AS TEMPERATURES DROP TOWARD
THE MID 20S. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................12 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 20 TO 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY.
CWR.................32 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 35 TO 50 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 25 TO 40 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................31 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 30 TO 45 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 20 TO 35 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...GILSTAD/RICHMOND
REQUESTED BY...MARVIN MATTHIESEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120405.DRYME.02/BYZ