FNUS72 KMFL 051548
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR EVERGLADES...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1148 AM EDT THU APR 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1123 EDT ON APRIL 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE WEST SOUTHWEST THIS
AFTERNOON AND INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A VERY ISOLATED
CHANCE AT A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM...BUT MOST OF THE ACTIVITY
SHOULD REMAIN WELL TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE WILDFIRE LOCATION.
LIGHT WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED IN THE EVENING AND MOST
OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BUT WINDS MAY INCREASE TOWARDS DAYBREAK
AS A PREFRONTAL TROUGH APPROACHES THE AREA. STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY FROM A FEW HOURS BEFORE DAYBREAK INTO
EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. STRONG GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING
AND HAIL ARE ALL POSSIBLE AS STORMS MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE
WEST AND NORTHWEST. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TODAY ARE
EXPECTED TO BE 45 TO 50 PERCENT. GENERALLY GOOD DISPERSION VALUES
ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....51.
LVORI...............1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 89.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........60     60     50     50     70     70
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........       ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............81     86     89     85     79     74
RH..............77     61     53     61     79     92
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 10  SW 10  W 10   SW 10  SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     20     20     20     20     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3700   4500   4500   4000   4000   700
MIXNG WIND......SW 9   SW 17  SW 17  W 17   SW 17  SW 9
DISPERSION IDX..50     52     52     49     49     9
LVORI...........1      1      1      8      8      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     30     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-700 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 12 MPH
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX....49 DECREASING TO 8 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............8.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 70.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4400 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 24 TO
                    28 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 78.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 87.

$$
FORECASTER...KENNEDY
REQUESTED BY...LT  GREG BUENO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120405.EVERG.02/MFL