FNUS71 KCTP 060059 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 212...PA GAME COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 859 PM EDT THU APR 5 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... .DISCUSSION... WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WITH SUFFICIENTLY DRY FINE FUELS BEING REPORTED BY PA FORESTRY AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FORECAST TO DROP BELOW 30% EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY...THE LIMITING FACTOR FOR RED FLAG WARNINGS OVER CENTRAL PA WILL BE THE WIND. AS HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS SOUTHEAST TOWARD PA AND IS FORECAST TO BE CENTERED OVER OHIO BY SATURDAY MORNING...AFTERNOON WINDS SHOULD REMAIN MARGINAL FOR RFW CONDITIONS MOST OF THE TIME. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS A SHORTWAVE TROF DROPS THROUGH THE NORTH/NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND TIGHTENS UP THE SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT. ACCORDINGLY HAVE ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR LATE FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR POSSIBILITY OF CONDITIONS EXCEEDING RED FLAG CRITERIA. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27. MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4700-6500 FT AGL UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 4200-4400 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO 28 TO 33 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 5 9 8 5 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................42 46 49 51 53 55 57 54 51 47 44 43 41 40 39 38 36 35 33 31 RH..................46 37 33 29 26 23 20 22 26 30 35 39 43 48 50 52 55 59 63 67 20 FT WIND DIR......N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......10 13 14 15 15 15 14 14 14 13 12 10 8 7 5 3 2 2 2 1 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 20 20 25 25 25 25 15 15 15 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......3.0 3.2 3.5 4.0 4.5 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.6 6.0 6.3 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.0 5.5 5.0 4.7 4.4 4.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.....N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.....20 18 20 21 23 24 25 25 28 30 32 33 33 33 33 32 31 30 29 28 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 11 TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING. TRANSPORT WINDS..... HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................30 28 34 38 43 48 51 53 56 58 60 57 RH..................71 75 59 50 42 34 31 28 25 24 22 26 20 FT WIND DIR......N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD......2 2 3 5 7 9 12 14 15 16 16 16 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT).......M M M M M M M M M M M M TRANSP WIND DIR.....M M M M M M M M M M M M TRANSP WIND SPD.....M M M M M M M M M M M M LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 2 .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33. MAX HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING. TRANSPORT WINDS..... HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............3 3 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................55 51 49 48 47 45 44 43 42 40 39 37 RH..................29 33 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 53 57 62 20 FT WIND DIR......NW N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD......14 12 8 8 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......M M M M M M M M M M M M TRANSP WIND DIR.....M M M M M M M M M M M M TRANSP WIND SPD.....M M M M M M M M M M M M LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING. TRANSPORT WINDS..... HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............10 24 24 24 34 34 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................36 39 47 54 59 63 RH..................66 59 45 35 31 27 20 FT WIND..........NW 3 NW 5 NW 6 NW 7 W 8 W 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)........M M M M M M TRANSPORT WIND......M M M M M M LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...LAMBERT REQUESTED BY...STEVEN BERNARDI TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120406.SGL21.01/CTP